Reggina vs Sambiase
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group I - 12 • Stadio Oreste Granillo • 🌦 19.6°C, 10 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 61.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 62.7% · No 37.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 67.1% · Under 32.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Reggina · Home
Reggina have scored in all five recent matches, including a 5-2 home win over Ragusa (5-2) and a 2-2 draw at CastrumFavara (2-2), for 12 goals across that run. Their model expected goals of 2.31 for this fixture reflect that scoring output.
Sambiase · Away
Sambiase won three of five, with two clean sheets, but their away record includes a 4-2 win at Igea Virtus (4-2) and a 1-2 loss at Licata (1-2). Their model expected goals of 1.17 is the lower figure here.
Reggina's H2H edge holds
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Reggina beat Sambiase 4-2 (4-2) on 3 May 2026, and the two earlier meetings both finished 0-1 in Reggina's favour (0-1, 0-1). Reggina have scored in every recent match, while Sambiase conceded twice in two of their last five. That history supports a home win rather than a repeat of any draw. The evidence supports Reggina win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Reggina 2.31 – 1.17 Sambiase · expected total 3.47
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Reggina
Sambiase
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone I
Reggina
Sambiase
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone I teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Reggina at home · Sambiase away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Reggina (home)
Sambiase (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Reggina 4 wins · 1 draw · Sambiase 0 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Reggina | 4–2 | Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Sambiase | 0–1 | Reggina | Serie D - Girone I |
| 08 Oct 2025 | Sambiase | 0–1 | Reggina | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Sambiase | 0–1 | Reggina | Serie D - Girone I |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Reggina | 1–1 | Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
📈 Recent Form
Reggina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ragusa | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 28/10 | CastrumFavara | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Nissa | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Vibonese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Igea Virtus | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Trapani 1905 | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/09 | Igea Virtus | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Vigor Lamezia | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Calcio Avola | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Modica | Away | 1–0 | W |
Sambiase
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Igea Virtus | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Nissa | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Calcio Avola | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | Trapani 1905 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Licata | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Vigor Lamezia | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Milazzo | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Modica | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Gela | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone I
Reggina #1 · 23 pts · Sambiase #2 · 23 pts
Reggina
Sambiase
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Reggina
Sambiase
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone I predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws