Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Las Palmas vs Eldense

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Estadio de Gran Canaria • ☁️ 26.8°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1xBet2.2142.9% -5.2%
Double Chance 12 Current price not available71.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available47.6% · Yes 52.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available53.9% · Over 46.1% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available9.5% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available54.5% · Under 45.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Las Palmas 42.9% · Draw 28.1% · Eldense 29.0%. Selected outcome: Las Palmas win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Las Palmas 1.34, Eldense 1.18, expected total 2.52.

Price check

The model favours Las Palmas win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Las Palmas: W-L-L-D-L in their last five matches.
Eldense: L-W-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Las Palmas

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.76
Elo strength rating1526

Eldense

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Elo strength rating1373
Las PalmasEldense
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.06
2.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.76
1.32
Elo strength rating
1526
1373

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Las Palmas

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Eldense

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División

Las Palmas

Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Eldense

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Las Palmas at home · Eldense away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Las Palmas (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Eldense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–4L
W 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Las Palmas (home)Eldense (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
W 2
L 4
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
9.52%
2–1
8.54%
2–0
7.24%
3–1
3.82%
3–0
3.24%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Las Palmas

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Real Sociedad II Home 1–0 W
17/10 Castellón Home 0–3 L
11/10 Mallorca Away 1–3 L
04/10 Valladolid Home 2–2 D
27/09 Eibar Away 2–3 L
20/09 Burgos Home 1–2 L
12/09 Cadiz Away 1–0 W
04/09 Leganes Home 0–0 D
29/08 Girona Away 2–5 L
22/08 AD Ceuta FC Away 2–0 W

Eldense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Granada CF Home 0–2 L
25/10 Albacete Away 0–2 L
18/10 Valladolid Away 3–2 W
10/10 Cordoba Home 2–1 W
02/10 Oviedo Home 4–1 W
27/09 Burgos Away 0–1 L
19/09 Eibar Home 1–2 L
13/09 Sporting Gijon Away 1–0 W
05/09 Mallorca Home 0–0 D
29/08 Leganes Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División

Las Palmas #14 · 14 pts ·  Eldense #13 · 14 pts

Las Palmas

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–5L
W 4
D 2
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards32
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.76
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Eldense

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–6L
W 4
D 2
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score5
Yellow cards26
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Las PalmasEldense
W 4
D 2
L 5
W 4
D 2
L 6
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.40
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
2
5
Yellow cards
32
26
Red cards
2
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.06
2.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.76
1.32
Corners for (avg)
4.00
6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Las Palmas

3
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Eldense

3
0-15
3
16-30
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws