Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta • ☁️ 15.5°C, 6 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 75.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 47.6% · Yes 52.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 52% · Over 48% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 10.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.7% · Over 49.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sabadell · Home
Sabadell's recent record is modest: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in five, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded, and they failed to score twice. At home they drew 1-1 with Tenerife and 0-0 with FC Andorra, so the venue split is tight rather than free-scoring.
Real Sociedad II · Away
Real Sociedad II lost four of five, conceding 12 goals, including 2-4 to Almeria and 1-4 at Celta de Vigo II. Their only win was 1-0 at home to Girona, and they failed to score once.
Sabadell edge a low-scoring H2H
The latest H2H is the clearest angle: Sabadell won 0-1 away at Real Sociedad II on 2024-02-17, while the prior meeting in Sabadell finished 1-2 to the visitors and the 2023-04-02 clash was 1-1. Real Sociedad II's recent away results include a 0-1 loss at Las Palmas and that 1-4 defeat at Celta de Vigo II, supporting a home edge. Sabadell's recent home draws of 1-1 and 0-0 fit the Under 2.5 pick at 52%, and the 1-0 correct score at 10.3% is realistic given their 1.54 model expected goals against 1.06 for the visitors. The evidence supports Sabadell win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sabadell 1.54 – 1.06 Real Sociedad II · expected total 2.60
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sabadell
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sabadell
Real Sociedad II
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Sabadell
Real Sociedad II
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sabadell at home · Real Sociedad II away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sabadell (home)
Real Sociedad II (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Real Sociedad II 2 wins · 1 draw · Sabadell 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2024 | Real Sociedad II | 0–1 | Sabadell | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Sabadell | 1–2 | Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 02 Apr 2023 | Real Sociedad II | 1–1 | Sabadell | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Sabadell | 1–2 | Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Sabadell
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Albacete | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Tenerife | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Burgos | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | AD Ceuta FC | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | FC Andorra | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Celta de Vigo II | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Oviedo | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Mallorca | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Cordoba | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 29/08 | Almeria | Home | 1–0 | W |
Real Sociedad II
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Girona | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Las Palmas | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Almeria | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Celta de Vigo II | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 04/10 | Granada CF | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 30/09 | Leicester City U21 | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 26/09 | AD Ceuta FC | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Mallorca | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | Aston Villa U21 | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Andorra | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Sabadell #10 · 17 pts · Real Sociedad II #18 · 11 pts
Sabadell
Real Sociedad II
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sabadell
Real Sociedad II
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws