Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • ☁️ 17.1°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet2.36 | 44.1% | +4.1% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 72.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 64% · No 36% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 63.4% · Under 36.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 53.6% · Under 46.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sporting Gijon · Home
Sporting Gijon have won four of their last five matches, including a 2-0 victory at AD Ceuta FC and a 1-0 win at Cadiz, though they also lost 0-4 at Castellón. Their recent xG for over those recorded matches was just 0.6, far below the model expected goals of 1.94 for this fixture.
Valladolid · Away
Valladolid have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, with a 5-0 win over Albacete and a 3-1 win over Cordoba, but they lost 1-2 at Granada CF and 2-3 at home to Eldense. Their recent xG for was 2.43, while the model expected goals for this match is 1.33.
Gijon's H2H Scoring Pattern
The latest head-to-head, on 8 Aug 2026, finished 2-4 to Valladolid, and the previous meeting ended 2-2, so both recent clashes at Gijon produced four or more goals. Gijon have still won four of their last five matches, and the model gives them a 50.4% chance here. Valladolid's 13 goals in five games support the BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 picks, but the 2-1 correct score fits a home win. The evidence supports Sporting Gijon win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sporting Gijon 1.94 – 1.33 Valladolid · expected total 3.27
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sporting Gijon
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Sporting Gijon
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Valladolid
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sporting Gijon at home · Valladolid away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sporting Gijon (home)
Valladolid (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Sporting Gijon 2 wins · 2 draws · Valladolid 6 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug 2026 | Sporting Gijon | 2–4 | Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Sporting Gijon | 2–2 | Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Valladolid | 2–3 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Sporting Gijon | 1–1 | Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Valladolid | 2–0 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 28 Jan 2022 | Valladolid | 1–0 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Sporting Gijon | 1–2 | Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 10 Jun 2018 | Sporting Gijon | 1–2 | Valladolid | Segunda División |
| 07 Jun 2018 | Valladolid | 3–1 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| 15 Apr 2018 | Valladolid | 0–1 | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
📈 Recent Form
Sporting Gijon
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AD Ceuta FC | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Castellón | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Albacete | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Cadiz | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Celta de Vigo II | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 27/09 | Oviedo | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Andorra | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Eldense | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Girona | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 28/08 | Tenerife | Away | 1–0 | W |
Valladolid
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Granada CF | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Eldense | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 12/10 | Albacete | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Las Palmas | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/09 | Cordoba | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 20/09 | AD Ceuta FC | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 13/09 | Oviedo | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Andorra | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 30/08 | Cadiz | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/08 | Eibar | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Sporting Gijon #5 · 22 pts · Valladolid #16 · 12 pts
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws