Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Soldier Field • ☁️ 10.4°C, 9 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.95 → 1.96 ▲1% Pinnacle1.9646.2% -9.4%
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.2576.4% -4.5%
BTTS Yes Betano1.4267.2% · No 32.8% -4.6%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Pinnacle1.4566% · Under 34% -4.3%
Correct Score 2-1 Betano9.258.1% -25.1%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available54.3% · Under 45.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Chicago Fire · Home

Chicago Fire have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-2 win at Colorado Rapids and a 3-2 win at Atlanta United. They also drew 2-2 at home with Orlando City, though they failed to score in a 0-1 loss at New England.

Columbus Crew · Away

Columbus Crew won all five recent matches, scoring 14 goals and keeping three clean sheets. Their run includes a 3-0 home win over DC United and 2-0 away wins at FC Dallas and FC Cincinnati.

Chicago's Home H2H Edge

The latest head-to-head, on 8 Mar 2026, ended 0-0 in Columbus, but the prior meeting in Chicago finished 2-0 to the Fire. Chicago's recent home results include that 2-0 win plus a 2-2 draw with Orlando City, showing they can score at home against strong opposition. Columbus' five-match winning run is formidable, yet the model gives Chicago a 46.2% win probability and 1.64 expected goals. The evidence supports Chicago Fire win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Chicago Fire 1.64 – 1.72 Columbus Crew · expected total 3.36

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chicago Fire

Form (last 5)
WDWLL
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Elo strength rating1406
Players out17

Columbus Crew

Form (last 5)
WWWWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.35
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.27
Elo strength rating1453
Players out14
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.62
3.35
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.27
Elo strength rating
1406
1453
Players out
17
14

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chicago Fire

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Columbus Crew

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Columbus Crew

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chicago Fire at home · Columbus Crew away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Chicago Fire (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–2D–5L
W 9
D 2
L 5
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0

Columbus Crew (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–9L
W 4
D 3
L 9
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Chicago Fire (home)Columbus Crew (away)
W 9
D 2
L 5
W 4
D 3
L 9
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.90
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.07%
1–0
4.73%
2–0
4.7%
3–1
4.43%
3–2
3.8%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire 1 win · 2 draws · Columbus Crew 7 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

1
2
7
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Mar 2026 Columbus Crew 0–0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer
28 Sep 2025 Chicago Fire 2–0 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer
23 Feb 2025 Columbus Crew 4–2 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer
19 May 2024 Chicago Fire 1–3 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer
10 Mar 2024 Columbus Crew 2–1 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer
21 Sep 2023 Columbus Crew 3–0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer
11 Jun 2023 Chicago Fire 1–2 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer
04 Sep 2022 Columbus Crew 0–0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer
10 Jul 2022 Chicago Fire 2–3 Columbus Crew Major League Soccer
07 Nov 2021 Columbus Crew 2–0 Chicago Fire Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

Chicago Fire

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Colorado Rapids Away 4–2 W
29/10 Orlando City SC Home 2–2 D
25/10 Atlanta United FC Away 3–2 W
18/10 New England Revolution Away 0–1 L
15/10 Philadelphia Union Home 1–3 L
10/10 New York City FC Home 2–1 W
07/10 Vancouver Whitecaps Home 3–1 W
27/09 Charlotte Away 1–0 W
20/09 Nashville SC Away 0–3 L
14/09 New England Revolution Home 1–2 L

Columbus Crew

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 DC United Home 3–0 W
29/10 FC Dallas Away 2–0 W
24/10 Toronto FC Home 4–2 W
19/10 FC Cincinnati Away 2–0 W
15/10 Charlotte Home 3–1 W
11/10 Orlando City SC Away 2–3 L
28/09 Inter Miami Home 2–1 W
20/09 CF Montreal Away 2–0 W
17/09 Orlando City SC Home 2–1 W
13/09 New York Red Bulls Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Played32
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score3
Yellow cards74
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Corners for (avg)3.10
Penalties (scored/missed)4/4

Columbus Crew

Played32
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score4
Yellow cards56
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.35
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.27
Corners for (avg)8.50
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
Played
32
32
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.50
Clean sheets
7
7
Failed to score
3
4
Yellow cards
74
56
Red cards
3
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.62
3.35
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.27
Corners for (avg)
3.10
8.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/4
4/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chicago Fire

4
0-15
9
8
16-30
8
11
31-45
6
10
46-60
10
4
61-75
12
12
76-90
11
scored conceded

Columbus Crew

9
0-15
6
9
16-30
10
8
31-45
8
5
46-60
11
8
61-75
7
13
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Fire

  • ❌ A. Franco: Knee Injury
  • ❌ V. Radojevic: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ S. Rogers: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ J. Dean: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ J. Elliott: Illness
  • ❌ L. Barroso: Injury
  • ❌ R. Lod: Face Injury
  • ❌ S. Oregel: Head Injury
  • ❌ A. Saletros: Head Injury
  • ❌ D. D'Avilla: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ M. Mbokazi: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ C. Cupps: International duty
  • ❌ N. Allen: International duty
  • ❌ C. Brady: International duty
  • ❌ P. Dithejane: International duty
  • ❌ R. Lewandowski: International duty
  • ❌ A. Mekvabishvili: International duty
  • ❓ J. Bamba (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury
  • ❓ J. Shokalook (doubtful): Head Injury
  • ❓ H. Cuypers (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury
  • ❓ C. Mueller (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Gutman, R. Turdean; not counted as confirmed absences.

Columbus Crew

  • ❌ M. Farsi: Pelvis Injury
  • ❌ D. Chambost: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Y. Cheberko: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ W. Abou Ali: Injury
  • ❌ A. Gomes: Leg Injury
  • ❌ J. Thiare: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ M. Amundsen: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ B. Lennon: Groin Injury
  • ❌ S. Bangoura: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ R. Camacho: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ N. Hagen: International duty
  • ❌ S. Moreira: International duty
  • ❌ G. Tapia: International duty
  • ❌ E. Bailly: Leg Injury
  • ❓ I. Aliyu (doubtful): Ankle Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): B. Mendez (Lacking Match Fitness).

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