USA Major League Soccer Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 15 Matches β€’ Round 29 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

Value bets in Major League Soccer: 7 bets Β· 42.9% win Β· profit +$14.14 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 29

Tomorrow - Wednesday, October 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
02:30 WLLLW WLLLW 86% 58.7% Over 2.5 1.44 β€”
02:30 LWWWL WLWDW 84% 54.6% Over 2.5 1.52 β€”
02:30 LWLWL LDWDL 80% 48% Under 2.5 2.55 β€”
02:30 LLDLD WLWWL 81% 49.5% Under 2.5 2.67 β€”
02:30 WLDDL LLWWW 83% 53.6% Over 2.5 1.41 β€”
02:30 WLDWD LDLWL 83% 52.3% Over 2.5 1.35 β€”

Thursday, October 15

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
03:30 LWDWW WWWWD 81% 49.2% Under 2.5 2.47 β€”
03:30 WWWLL WWWWW 85% 57.1% Over 2.5 1.45 β€”
03:30 WWWDL DLWLW 82% 51.4% Over 2.5 1.32 β€”
03:30 WWWWW DLDWL 86% 59.4% Over 2.5 1.53 β€”
04:30 LWLLL DWDWW 81% 49.4% Over 2.5 1.50 β€”
04:30 DLDLW DLLLL 80% 47.9% Over 2.5 1.64 β€”
05:30 LWWDL DLLLD 81% 50.1% Over 2.5 1.40 β€”
05:30 DLDLW LDDWD 84% 54.1% Under 2.5 2.45 β€”
05:30 LDDLL DLDLW 84% 55.6% Over 2.5 1.66 β€”
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

217 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
44.7% 97/217
⚽ Both Teams to Score
61.8% 134/217
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
59.4% 129/217
πŸ”’ Correct Score
11.1% 24/217
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
73.7% 160/217
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
50.7% 105/207
🀝 Draw Predictions
36.1% 22/61

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 51.0% 26/51
⚽ Both Teams to Score 64.7% 33/51
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 70.6% 36/51
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 76.5% 39/51

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 46.5% 42.1% 107
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 64.1% 70.0% 10
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 72.0% 50.0% 4
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 53.1% 57.1% 112
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 62.0% 77.8% 9
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 52.5% 57.7% 111
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 62.3% 90.0% 10
Correct Score Β· <60% 10.1% 8.3% 121
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.0% 66.3% 101
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.8% 84.6% 13
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.3% 71.4% 7
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 26.5% 40.9% 22
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 86.1% 46.2% 13
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.3% 55.2% 29
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 75.1% 66.7% 15
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.6% 50.0% 58

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 28

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
10/10 20:00 WLLLW LWLWL 81% 49.1% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT
10/10 21:30 WWWLL LDLWL 81% 49.3% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.59 2 – 1 FT
11/10 02:30 WLLLW LWWWL 81% 49.1% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 02:30 WLDWD LLDLD 83% 52.4% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 4 – 0 FT
11/10 02:30 LDWDL WLDDL 83% 52.6% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 3 FT
11/10 02:30 LLWWW WWWWD 80% 47.6% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 0 – 3 FT
11/10 02:30 WWWWW LWLLL 82% 50.8% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT
11/10 02:30 WLWWL LDDLL 85% 56.5% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 4 – 1 FT
11/10 02:30 WLWDW LWDWW 81% 48.8% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 03:30 LDDWD WWWDL 81% 50.1% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.16 1 – 4 FT
11/10 03:30 DLLLL DLDLW 81% 49.7% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.12 2 – 2 FT
11/10 03:30 DLWLW DLLLD 83% 52.3% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.36 3 – 3 FT
11/10 04:30 DLDLW DWDWW 81% 49.8% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.42 1 – 1 FT
11/10 05:30 DLDLW DLDWL 80% 47.7% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 1 FT
12/10 02:00 WWWWW LWWDL 87% 60.3% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 6 – 2 FT