Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 05:45 UTC+3 • Round 33 • Providence Park • ⛅ 7.1°C, 5 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.88 → 1.78 ▼5% | Betano1.78 | 46.1% | -17.9% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.25 | 75.7% | -5.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 66.4% · No 33.6% | +7.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Pinnacle1.62 | 65.2% · Under 34.8% | +5.6% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betano8.75 | 9.1% | -20.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Pinnacle2.04 | 51.3% · Over 48.7% | +4.7% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Portland Timbers · Home
Portland Timbers have won two of their last five, including 3-2 at St. Louis City and 3-2 over Charlotte, though they also failed to score in the 0-0 draw with Colorado Rapids and the 0-2 loss at Los Angeles Galaxy. Their model expected goals of 1.75 is the higher figure in this matchup.
Houston Dynamo · Away
Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in five but drew four of them, with 1-0 at Seattle Sounders their only win. They have scored in four of those five and drew 3-3 at San Diego.
Portland's Home Edge Over Draw-Prone Houston
The latest H2H went Houston's way, 3-2 on 15 Mar 2026, but the prior meeting in Portland finished 3-1 to the Timbers. Houston's recent run of four draws in five shows they are hard to beat yet rarely close matches out, and their 1.52 model expected goals sits below Portland's 1.75. Portland have already produced two 3-2 wins in their last five, so a home victory is a realistic outcome rather than a stretch. The evidence supports Portland Timbers win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Portland Timbers 1.88 – 1.48 Houston Dynamo · expected total 3.37
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Portland Timbers
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Portland Timbers at home · Houston Dynamo away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Portland Timbers (home)
Houston Dynamo (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Houston Dynamo 5 wins · 2 draws · Portland Timbers 4 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 11
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2026 | Portland Timbers | 3–1 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Houston Dynamo | 3–2 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Houston Dynamo | 1–0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Portland Timbers | 3–1 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 02 Jun 2024 | Portland Timbers | 2–2 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Houston Dynamo | 1–0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Portland Timbers | 1–3 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 21 Aug 2023 | Houston Dynamo | 5–0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Portland Timbers | 2–1 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 17 Apr 2022 | Houston Dynamo | 0–0 | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
📈 Recent Form
Portland Timbers
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Houston Dynamo | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/10 | St. Louis City | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Charlotte | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 18/10 | Colorado Rapids | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 15/10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Sporting Kansas City | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 27/09 | San Jose Earthquakes | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Atlanta United FC | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Dallas | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/09 | St. Louis City | Home | 2–2 | D |
Houston Dynamo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Portland Timbers | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/10 | Seattle Sounders | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Minnesota United FC | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | FC Dallas | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/10 | San Diego | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 11/10 | Minnesota United FC | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/09 | Sporting Kansas City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Cincinnati | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | San Jose Earthquakes | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/09 | Real Salt Lake | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers #11 · 40 pts · Houston Dynamo #5 · 51 pts
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Portland Timbers
- ❌ D. Da Costa: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ O. Fernandez: Foot Injury
- ❌ Z. McGraw: Back Injury
- ❌ J. Mosquera: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Fory: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ K. Miller: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ G. Guerra: Abdominal strain
- ❌ K. Velde: Personal Reasons
- ❌ A. Aravena: Hip Injury
- ❌ I. Smith: Ankle Injury
- ❌ B. Bye: Leg Injury
- ❌ T. Muse: Wrist Injury
- ❌ K. Kelsy: Foot Injury
- ❌ F. Surman: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Waterman: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ H. Sulte: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ Antony: Knee Injury
- ❓ A. Bonetig (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury
- ❓ D. Chara (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury
- ❓ C. Bassett (doubtful): Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): J. Caicedo, V. Janssen; not counted as confirmed absences.
Houston Dynamo
- ❌ Artur: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Miller: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ N. Quinones: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ Antonio Carlos: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Bouzat: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Lucas Halter: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ N. Markanich: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. Sviatchenko: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. McGlynn: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ O. Lingr: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Maurer: Concussion
- ❌ S. Vines: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ M. Saracchi: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ A. Resch: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ H. Herrera: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Guilherme: Lower-Body Injury
- ❓ Felipe Andrade (doubtful): Thigh Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Foster; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Drew Fischer