Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs Charlotte

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Nu Stadium • ☀️ 26.4°C, 21 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.1% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available75.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available62.1% · No 37.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available61.2% · Under 38.8% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.9 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available52.9% · Under 47.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Inter Miami · Home

Inter Miami have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-0 win over DC United and a 2-0 win over New York City FC at home. Their recent xG for stands at 2.17 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics, and the model expects 1.9 goals here.

Charlotte · Away

Charlotte have scored 13 goals in their last five, with 4-0 home wins over Orlando City SC and CF Montreal. Away from home, though, they lost 3-1 at Columbus Crew and 3-2 at Portland Timbers, and their recent xG for is 1.53.

Charlotte's away leakiness

The latest H2H, on 14 Mar 2026, finished 0-0 in Charlotte, while the two prior meetings split 3-0 and 1-0. Charlotte's away results in this run include a 3-1 loss at Columbus Crew and a 3-2 loss at Portland Timbers, conceding 3 in each. Inter Miami's home record in the same window shows 4-0 and 2-0 wins, supporting a home edge despite the draw. The evidence supports Inter Miami win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Inter Miami 1.90 – 1.27 Charlotte · expected total 3.17

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Inter Miami

Form (last 5)
WDLWW
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.17
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.28
Elo strength rating1418
Players out23

Charlotte

Form (last 5)
WWLDL
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season9
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.93
Elo strength rating1423
Players out17
Inter MiamiCharlotte
Goals scored (season avg)
2.30
1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
6
9
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.17
1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.28
2.93
Elo strength rating
1418
1423
Players out
23
17

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Inter Miami

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Charlotte

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

Best attack (2.30 goals/game, season)

Charlotte

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Inter Miami at home · Charlotte away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Inter Miami (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–8D–2L
W 6
D 8
L 2
Played16
Goals scored (avg)2.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Charlotte (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–7L
W 5
D 4
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Inter Miami (home)Charlotte (away)
W 6
D 8
L 2
W 5
D 4
L 7
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
2.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
2.00
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.67%
2–0
7.63%
1–0
7%
3–1
6.14%
3–0
4.84%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Charlotte 3 wins · 3 draws · Inter Miami 4 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

3
3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
15 Mar 2026 Charlotte 0–0 Inter Miami Major League Soccer
14 Sep 2025 Charlotte 3–0 Inter Miami Major League Soccer
09 Mar 2025 Inter Miami 1–0 Charlotte Major League Soccer
29 Sep 2024 Inter Miami 1–1 Charlotte Major League Soccer
04 Jul 2024 Charlotte 1–2 Inter Miami Major League Soccer
23 Oct 2023 Charlotte 1–0 Inter Miami Major League Soccer
19 Oct 2023 Inter Miami 2–2 Charlotte Major League Soccer
12 Aug 2023 Inter Miami 4–0 Charlotte Leagues Cup
17 Jul 2022 Inter Miami 3–2 Charlotte Major League Soccer
07 May 2022 Charlotte 1–0 Inter Miami Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

Inter Miami

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 New England Revolution Away 2–1 W
29/10 FC Cincinnati Home 2–2 D
25/10 New York Red Bulls Away 0–2 L
18/10 Atlanta United FC Away 3–1 W
15/10 New York City FC Home 2–0 W
11/10 DC United Home 4–0 W
28/09 Columbus Crew Away 1–2 L
21/09 San Diego Home 2–2 D
17/09 Cruz Azul Home 2–0 W
13/09 Nashville SC Home 2–2 D

Charlotte

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Orlando City SC Home 4–0 W
29/10 CF Montreal Home 4–0 W
25/10 Portland Timbers Away 2–3 L
17/10 Philadelphia Union Away 2–2 D
15/10 Columbus Crew Away 1–3 L
11/10 FC Dallas Home 3–2 W
27/09 Chicago Fire Home 0–1 L
20/09 DC United Away 2–1 W
13/09 FC Cincinnati Away 3–3 D
10/09 CF Montreal Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

Played32
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards82
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.17
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.28
Corners for (avg)3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1

Charlotte

Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score6
Yellow cards66
Red cards4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.93
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)4/2
Inter MiamiCharlotte
Played
32
33
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.50
Clean sheets
6
7
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
82
66
Red cards
3
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.17
1.53
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.28
2.93
Corners for (avg)
3.00
6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/1
4/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Inter Miami

8
0-15
6
7
16-30
14
6
31-45
18
9
46-60
12
8
61-75
8
16
76-90
18
scored conceded

Charlotte

8
0-15
10
8
16-30
11
5
31-45
6
8
46-60
10
8
61-75
13
10
76-90
14
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Inter Miami

  • ❌ S. Reguilon: Injury
  • ❌ L. Suarez: Leg Injury
  • ❌ M. Falcon: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. de Paul: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Allende: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ D. Ayala: Groin Injury
  • ❌ Y. Bright: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ M. Silvetti: Foot Injury
  • ❌ T. Segovia: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ I. Fray: Injury
  • ❌ N. Allen: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ G. Lujan: Calf Injury
  • ❌ L. Messi: Rest
  • ❌ S. Morales: International duty
  • ❌ G. Berterame: Concussion
  • ❌ A. Shaw: International duty
  • ❌ Micael: Injury
  • ❌ T. Hall: Injury
  • ❌ F. Mura: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ F. Caicedo: International duty
  • ❌ L. Delinois: International duty
  • ❌ M. Galarza: International duty
  • ❌ D. St.Clair: International duty

Charlotte

  • ❌ H. Kessler: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ L. de la Torre: Concussion
  • ❌ W. Zaha: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ T. Ream: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ H. Toffolo: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ A. Westwood: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ N. Byrne: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ D. Schnegg: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ N. Berchimas: International duty
  • ❌ A. John: Upper-Body Injury
  • ❌ A. Johnson: Injury
  • ❌ A. Goodwin: Injury
  • ❌ L. Abada: International duty
  • ❌ R. Aloko: International duty
  • ❌ I. Toklomati: International duty
  • ❌ B. Bronico: Groin Injury
  • ❌ W. Cleary: Illness

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Saint-Maximin, A. Doucoure; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws