Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • TQL Stadium • ⛅ 13°C, 6 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available46.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available77.9% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available74.4% · No 25.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available75.3% · Under 24.7% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.1% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.2 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available67.1% · Under 32.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

FC Cincinnati · Home

FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Philadelphia Union and a 2-0 away win at DC United. Their most recent home meeting with Nashville SC ended 2-1 in their favour on 13 Sep 2025.

Nashville SC · Away

Nashville SC are unbeaten across their last five, with three clean sheets and a 4-0 home win over Sporting Kansas City. They also beat FC Cincinnati 4-0 in the latest head-to-head on 30 Aug 2026, though that came at home.

Home Edge Holds

The latest H2H was a 4-0 Nashville SC home win, but FC Cincinnati won the two prior meetings, including 2-1 at home on 13 Sep 2025. Cincinnati's recent home results include a 1-0 win over Philadelphia Union and a 2-1 win over DC United, while their one home loss was 0-2 to Columbus Crew. Nashville SC drew 0-0 with Philadelphia Union and 1-1 at San Jose Earthquakes, showing they can be held. The evidence supports FC Cincinnati win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: FC Cincinnati 2.18 – 1.78 Nashville SC · expected total 3.96

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

FC Cincinnati

Form (last 5)
WDWWL
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48
Elo strength rating1347
Players out20

Nashville SC

Form (last 5)
WDWDW
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
Elo strength rating1489
Players out14
FC CincinnatiNashville SC
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.20
0.70
Best league winning streak this season
5
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.31
3.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.48
0.98
Elo strength rating
1347
1489
Players out
20
14

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

FC Cincinnati

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Nashville SC

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Nashville SC

2nd best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (16, season)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

FC Cincinnati at home · Nashville SC away, the split that matters for this fixture.

FC Cincinnati (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–3D–4L
W 9
D 3
L 4
Played16
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Nashville SC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–6D–3L
W 7
D 6
L 3
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets8
Failed to score5
FC Cincinnati (home)Nashville SC (away)
W 9
D 3
L 4
W 7
D 6
L 3
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
0.70
Clean sheets
3
8
Failed to score
2
5

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.14%
3–1
5.92%
3–2
5.26%
2–0
4.58%
1–0
3.45%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 4 wins · 2 draws · Nashville SC 3 wins · avg 3.6 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9

4
2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
30 Aug 2026 Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer
14 Sep 2025 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer
30 Mar 2025 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer
22 Sep 2024 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer
30 May 2024 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer
16 Jul 2023 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer
26 Mar 2023 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer
17 Feb 2023 Nashville SC 6–3 FC Cincinnati Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul 2022 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Philadelphia Union Home 1–0 W
29/10 Inter Miami Away 2–2 D
25/10 DC United Away 2–0 W
22/10 DC United Home 2–1 W
19/10 Columbus Crew Home 0–2 L
15/10 New England Revolution Home 2–3 L
11/10 Atlanta United FC Away 3–1 W
27/09 CF Montreal Away 1–3 L
20/09 Houston Dynamo Away 2–2 D
13/09 Charlotte Home 3–3 D

Nashville SC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 New York Red Bulls Home 3–2 W
29/10 Philadelphia Union Home 0–0 D
24/10 CF Montreal Away 2–0 W
18/10 San Jose Earthquakes Away 1–1 D
15/10 Sporting Kansas City Home 4–0 W
11/10 Austin Away 4–1 W
27/09 Toronto FC Home 2–0 W
20/09 Chicago Fire Home 3–0 W
13/09 Inter Miami Away 2–2 D
10/09 Toronto FC Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Played33
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards67
Red cards7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48
Corners for (avg)8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)6/0

Nashville SC

Played32
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets16
Failed to score6
Yellow cards54
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.98
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
FC CincinnatiNashville SC
Played
33
32
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
0.70
Clean sheets
4
16
Failed to score
5
6
Yellow cards
67
54
Red cards
7
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.31
3.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.48
0.98
Corners for (avg)
8.20
6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
6/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

FC Cincinnati

4
0-15
7
14
16-30
6
14
31-45
14
17
46-60
11
8
61-75
8
14
76-90
24
scored conceded

Nashville SC

2
0-15
6
4
16-30
14
3
31-45
10
3
46-60
10
7
61-75
8
5
76-90
17
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

FC Cincinnati

  • ❌ K. Fletcher: Knee Injury
  • ❌ S. Chirila: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Anunga: Leg Injury
  • ❌ R. Celentano: Rest
  • ❌ G. Valenzuela: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ M. Robinson: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Powell: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ K. Denkey: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ O. Nwobodo: Leg Injury
  • ❌ N. Hagglund: Injury
  • ❌ B. J. Ramirez Leon: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ T. Hadebe: Leg Injury
  • ❌ A. Jabbari: Leg Injury
  • ❌ K. Smith: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Chirila: Concussion
  • ❌ Evander: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ P. Bucha: International duty
  • ❌ J. Martinez: Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Malatini: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ T. Malacia: Ankle Injury
  • ❓ M. Miazga (doubtful): Leg Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): E. Echenique; not counted as confirmed absences.

Nashville SC

  • ❌ M. Corcoran: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ C. Applewhite: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Williams: Injury
  • ❌ E. Tagseth: Injury
  • ❌ P. Yazbek: Injury
  • ❌ A. Najar: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. Espinoza: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ W. Madrigal: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ A. Muyl: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ J. Willis: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ A. Qasem: International duty
  • ❌ B. Schwake: International duty
  • ❌ F. Camara: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ O. Presthus: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❓ S. Mohammed (doubtful): Inactive
  • ❓ X. Valdez (doubtful): Illness
  • ❓ S. Surridge (doubtful): Illness
  • ❓ R. Baker-Whiting (doubtful): Injury

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
30 Aug 2026 Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Nashville SC win (home) 51.3% — 4–0 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws