Predictions β†’ Usa Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 β€’ 00:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 31 β€’ Dick's Sporting Goods Park β€’ β˜€οΈ 13.5Β°C, 17 km/h clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Double Chance β€” 1X
Model 66.6% Β· Market best price β‰ˆ 58.8% Β· Edge +11.3 pp
Best odds 1.70 William Hill 1.70Marathonbet 1.68BetVictor 1.65
Bet this pick β†’
ΒΌ Kelly sizing: 4.7% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly β€” confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 56% 26.5% 3.83 Pinnacle 24.1% +2.4 pp
Double Chance 1X 67% 65.6% 1.70 William Hill 54.3% +11.3 pp
BTTS Yes 82% 51.7% 1.50 William Hill 62% -10.3 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79% 46.1% 2.36 Pinnacle 40.4% +5.7 pp
Correct Score 1-1 70% 11.2% 7.00 William Hill 8.9% +2.3 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.4 exp.) Over 9.5 65% 55.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Colorado Rapids 1.39 – 1.23 Vancouver Whitecaps Β· expected total 2.62

🧠 Match Preview

Colorado host Vancouver at Dick's Sporting Goods Park on Sunday with very different seasons on the line. The Whitecaps sit top of the table on 55 points from 30 games, while Colorado are ninth on 39 points from the same number of matches. A home win would tighten the gap; a Vancouver result keeps the leaders comfortable.

The model sees a tight, low-scoring game. Expected goals read 1.3901 for Colorado and 1.2274 for Vancouver, and recent shot quality leans slightly home (1.64 against 1.19). Form is modest on both sides: Colorado have drawn four of five (DDDLD), Vancouver are WDDLD. The head-to-head is streaky β€” Vancouver won 3-1 in April 2026, but Colorado took the previous meeting 3-0. Both injury lists are long, so rotation and depth will matter more than usual.

The headline call is a draw at 26.5 percent, priced at 3.83, with double chance 1X at 65.6 percent the safer route. Both teams to score is tipped Yes at 51.7 percent (odds 1.5), and Under 2.5 goals at 46.1 percent (odds 2.36) fits the xG picture. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2 percent, with 0-0 next. Corners look the strongest angle: an expected 11.4 and 55.9 percent for Over 9.5.

The honest caveat is that a 26.5 percent draw is a thin edge, and with Vancouver's league position and Colorado's drawing habit, the 1X double chance is the more defensible bet. Treat the correct score as speculative.

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 10:09 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Colorado Rapids

Form (last 5)
DPortland Timbers (A) 0–0 Β· 18/10/2026DMinnesota United FC (H) 2–2 Β· 15/10/2026DSan Jose Earthquakes (H) 1–1 Β· 11/10/2026LLos Angeles Galaxy (A) 2–3 Β· 27/09/2026DSeattle Sounders (H) 3–3 Β· 20/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)1.28
xG against (recent avg)0.88
Elo strength rating1419
Players out18

Vancouver Whitecaps

Form (last 5)
WAustin (A) 2–1 Β· 18/10/2026DSt. Louis City (A) 0–0 Β· 15/10/2026DLos Angeles FC (A) 1–1 Β· 11/10/2026LChicago Fire (A) 1–3 Β· 07/10/2026DDC United (H) 3–3 Β· 27/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)4
xG for (recent avg)1.01
xG against (recent avg)1.37
Elo strength rating1596
Players out23
Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.00
Win streak (best this season)
3
4
xG for (recent avg)
1.28
1.01
xG against (recent avg)
0.88
1.37
Elo strength rating
1419
1596
Players out
18
23

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Colorado Rapids

Unbeaten 3 Winless 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Vancouver Whitecaps

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Vancouver Whitecaps

2nd best attack (2.10 goals/game) 2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game) 3rd best clean sheets (12)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Colorado Rapids at home Β· Vancouver Whitecaps away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Colorado Rapids (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–3D–3L
W 9
D 3
L 3
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets7
Failed to score1

Vancouver Whitecaps (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–3L
W 7
D 5
L 3
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Colorado Rapids (home)Vancouver Whitecaps (away)
W 9
D 3
L 3
W 7
D 5
L 3
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.10
Clean sheets
7
5
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.2%
0–0
7%
2–2
4.3%
3–3
0.8%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Colorado Rapids 3 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Vancouver Whitecaps 4 wins Β· avg 2.6 goals Β· BTTS in 6 of 10

3
3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer
13 Jul 2025 Colorado Rapids 3–0 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
06 Apr 2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer
02 Jun 2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer
16 May 2024 Colorado Rapids 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
28 Sep 2023 Colorado Rapids 2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
30 Apr 2023 Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer
11 Sep 2022 Colorado Rapids 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
18 Aug 2022 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer
20 Sep 2021 Colorado Rapids 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Colorado Rapids

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Portland Timbers Away 0–0 D
15/10 Minnesota United FC Home 2–2 D
11/10 San Jose Earthquakes Home 1–1 D
27/09 Los Angeles Galaxy Away 2–3 L
20/09 Seattle Sounders Home 3–3 D

Vancouver Whitecaps

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Austin Away 2–1 W
15/10 St. Louis City Away 0–0 D
11/10 Los Angeles FC Away 1–1 D
07/10 Chicago Fire Away 1–3 L
27/09 DC United Home 3–3 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids #9 Β· 39 pts β€”  Vancouver Whitecaps #1 Β· 55 pts

Colorado Rapids

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–6D–13L
W 11
D 6
L 13
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets10
Failed to score8
Yellow cards77
Red cards6
xG for (avg)1.28
xG against (avg)0.88
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1

Vancouver Whitecaps

Wins–Draws–Losses16W–7D–7L
W 16
D 7
L 7
Played30
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets12
Failed to score5
Yellow cards61
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.37
Corners for (avg)6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)7/1
Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps
W 11
D 6
L 13
W 16
D 7
L 7
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.00
Clean sheets
10
12
Failed to score
8
5
Yellow cards
77
61
Red cards
6
2
xG for (avg)
1.28
1.01
xG against (avg)
0.88
1.37
Corners for (avg)
6.00
6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/1
7/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Colorado Rapids

3
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
9
8
61-75
6
12
76-90
10
scored conceded

Vancouver Whitecaps

4
0-15
10
5
16-30
12
10
31-45
10
7
46-60
8
2
61-75
10
4
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids

  • ❌ A. Fadal β€” Abdominal strain
  • ❌ Z. Steffen β€” Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ R. Cannon β€” Ankle Injury
  • ❌ C. Ronan β€” Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Ku-DiPietro β€” Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ M. Navarro β€” Red Card
  • ❌ J. Travis β€” Red Card
  • ❌ J. Atencio β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ W. Frederick β€” Leg Injury
  • ❌ R. Holding β€” Red Card
  • ❌ H. Ojediran β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Harris β€” Illness
  • ❌ M. Diop β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Stewart-Baynes β€” Leg Injury
  • ❌ Y. Maziz β€” Injury
  • ❌ K. Thompson β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Minoungou β€” International duty
  • ❌ S. Abu Farkhi β€” Red Card

Vancouver Whitecaps

  • ❌ S. Adekugbe β€” Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ R. Gauld β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ B. Halbouni β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Veselinovic β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ E. Sabbi β€” Suspended
  • ❌ S. Schonlau β€” Calf Injury
  • ❌ C. Sabaly β€” Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ T. Blackmon β€” Calf Injury
  • ❌ A. Cubas β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ R. Priso β€” Injury
  • ❌ T. Muller β€” Illness
  • ❌ O. Larraz β€” Hip Injury
  • ❌ Y. Takaoka β€” Red Card
  • ❌ S. Berhalter β€” Inactive
  • ❌ B. Caicedo β€” Injury
  • ❌ M. Gherasimencov β€” Illness
  • ❌ B. White β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Badwal β€” Concussion
  • ❌ A. Cvetkovic β€” Inactive
  • ❌ K. Poku β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ E. Ocampo β€” Concussion
  • ❌ Y. Diaby β€” International duty
  • ❌ R. Elloumi β€” International duty
  • ❓ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (doubtful) β€” Injury

More: Major League Soccer predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws