Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 03:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Shell Energy Stadium • 🌦 23.9°C, 18 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 73.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 55.9% · No 44.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.1% · Under 47.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.2% · Under 49.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Houston Dynamo · Home
Houston Dynamo are unbeaten across their last five with four draws, including 0-0 and 2-2 at home. Their latest outing was a 1-0 win at Seattle Sounders, and the model gives them 1.58 expected goals here.
St. Louis City · Away
St. Louis City have lost four of five, failing to score in three of those matches. Their latest H2H visit to Houston ended 1-0 to the Dynamo on 29 Jun 2025, and their recent away results include a 0-3 loss at Real Salt Lake.
Houston's H2H Edge at Home
The latest H2H, a 2-1 St. Louis home win on 23 Aug 2026, shows the visitors can score in this matchup. But Houston won the most recent meeting staged in Houston, 1-0 on 29 Jun 2025, and St. Louis have failed to score in three of their last five. Houston's four draws in five show they are hard to beat, and their 1.58 model expected goals outweigh St. Louis's 1.14. The evidence supports Houston Dynamo win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Houston Dynamo 1.61 – 1.16 St. Louis City · expected total 2.76
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Houston Dynamo
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Houston Dynamo at home · St. Louis City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Houston Dynamo (home)
St. Louis City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Houston Dynamo 3 wins · 2 draws · St. Louis City 4 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | St. Louis City | 2–1 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 31 Aug 2025 | St. Louis City | 2–3 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 29 Jun 2025 | Houston Dynamo | 1–0 | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| 06 Oct 2024 | St. Louis City | 3–0 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| 05 May 2024 | Houston Dynamo | 0–0 | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Houston Dynamo | 1–0 | St. Louis City | CONCACAF Champions League |
| 21 Feb 2024 | St. Louis City | 2–1 | Houston Dynamo | CONCACAF Champions League |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Houston Dynamo | 1–1 | St. Louis City | Major League Soccer |
| 04 Jun 2023 | St. Louis City | 3–0 | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
📈 Recent Form
Houston Dynamo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Portland Timbers | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/10 | Seattle Sounders | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Minnesota United FC | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | FC Dallas | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/10 | San Diego | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 11/10 | Minnesota United FC | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/09 | Sporting Kansas City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Cincinnati | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | San Jose Earthquakes | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/09 | Real Salt Lake | Home | 2–1 | W |
St. Louis City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | San Diego | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/10 | Portland Timbers | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Real Salt Lake | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Minnesota United FC | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 15/10 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Home | 6–2 | W |
| 01/10 | New York Red Bulls | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Toronto FC | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 17/09 | Colorado Rapids | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Minnesota United FC | Home | 4–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo #5 · 51 pts · St. Louis City #4 · 51 pts
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Houston Dynamo
- ❌ Artur: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Miller: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ N. Quinones: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ Antonio Carlos: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Bouzat: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Lucas Halter: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ N. Markanich: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. Sviatchenko: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. McGlynn: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ O. Lingr: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Maurer: Concussion
- ❌ S. Vines: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ M. Saracchi: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ A. Resch: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ H. Herrera: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Guilherme: Lower-Body Injury
- ❓ Felipe Andrade (doubtful): Thigh Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Foster; not counted as confirmed absences.
St. Louis City
- ❌ F. Fall: Leg Injury
- ❌ E. Lowen: Personal Reasons
- ❌ T. Ostrak: Leg Injury
- ❌ T. Totland: Injury
- ❌ C. Teuchert: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Celio Pompeu: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Orozco: Concussion
- ❌ S. Jeong: Injury
- ❌ C. Glover: Injury
- ❌ M. Mbacke: Back Injury
- ❌ C. Durkin: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ R. Burki: Thigh Injury
- ❌ S. Cordova: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Wallem: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. McSorley: Ankle Injury
- ❌ K. Hiebert: Hip Injury
- ❌ P. Ault: Ankle Injury
- ❌ D. Downs: International duty
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): T. Pearce, A. Matan; not counted as confirmed absences.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City win (home) | 43.7% | — | 2–1 | ✅ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws