Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Subaru Park • ☁️ 7.9°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 65.1% · No 34.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 64.7% · Under 35.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 57.3% · Under 42.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Philadelphia Union · Home
Philadelphia Union have scored six goals across their last five matches, though two of those games ended with the team failing to score. Their latest home results were a 1-2 loss to New England Revolution and a 2-2 draw with Charlotte.
Toronto FC · Away
Toronto FC have scored ten goals in their last five matches and failed to score in none of them. Their most recent away match was a 1-3 loss at Atlanta United FC.
Toronto's away leakiness meets Union
The latest head-to-head, on 22 Apr 2026, finished 3-3 in Toronto, and the two prior meetings also produced goals for both sides. Toronto's recent away matches include the 1-3 loss at Atlanta United FC and a 2-4 loss at Columbus Crew, so their away games have consistently produced goals for both teams. Philadelphia's model expected goals of 1.97 is the higher of the two forecasts, supporting a home win despite their mixed recent record. The evidence supports Philadelphia Union win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Philadelphia Union 1.97 – 1.37 Toronto FC · expected total 3.34
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Philadelphia Union
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Toronto FC
Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Philadelphia Union at home · Toronto FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Philadelphia Union (home)
Toronto FC (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Union 3 wins · 4 draws · Toronto FC 3 wins · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | Toronto FC | 3–3 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Philadelphia Union | 1–1 | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| 29 May 2025 | Toronto FC | 1–2 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Toronto FC | 2–1 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
| 30 May 2024 | Philadelphia Union | 0–0 | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Toronto FC | 3–1 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Philadelphia Union | 4–2 | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| 09 Oct 2022 | Philadelphia Union | 4–0 | Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| 17 Apr 2022 | Toronto FC | 2–1 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
| 28 Oct 2021 | Toronto FC | 2–2 | Philadelphia Union | Major League Soccer |
📈 Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Cincinnati | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 29/10 | Nashville SC | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | New England Revolution | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Charlotte | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/10 | Chicago Fire | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Real Salt Lake | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Orlando City SC | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sporting Kansas City | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 14/09 | San Diego | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 10/09 | FC Cincinnati | Home | 5–0 | W |
Toronto FC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Atlanta United FC | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/10 | DC United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Columbus Crew | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 18/10 | New York Red Bulls | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Orlando City SC | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 10/10 | CF Montreal | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Nashville SC | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | St. Louis City | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Orlando City SC | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 10/09 | Nashville SC | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Philadelphia Union
- ❌ B. Bender: Groin Injury
- ❌ E. Davis III: Thigh Injury
- ❌ Q. Sullivan: Leg Injury
- ❌ E. Alladoh: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ O. Makhanya: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Anello: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Jean Jacques: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Olivas: Ankle Injury
- ❌ J. Bueno: Leg Injury
- ❌ P. Ndinga: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Sery Larsen: Injury
- ❌ A. Blake: Knee Injury
- ❌ F. Westfield: Hip Injury
- ❌ S. Korzeniowski: Knee Injury
- ❌ I. Vassilev: Head Injury
- ❌ J. Lukic: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ G. Martinez: Injury
- ❌ A. Bedoya: Knee Injury
- ❌ N. Pierre: International duty
- ❌ C. Sullivan: International duty
- ❌ M. Iloski: Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. Damiani: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
Toronto FC
- ❌ T. Corbeanu: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. De Rosario: Hand Injury
- ❌ N. Gomis: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ D. Kerr: Groin Injury
- ❌ Matheus Pereira: Groin Injury
- ❌ Z. Monlouis: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ H. Wingo: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Vilsaint: Illness
- ❌ R. Edwards: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ D. Mihailovic: Pelvis Injury
- ❌ W. Zimmerman: Calf Injury
- ❌ B. Kuscevic: Groin Injury
- ❌ R. Laryea: Injury
- ❌ J. Cifuentes: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Sargent: Thigh Injury
- ❌ L. Stefanovic: Injury
- ❌ M. Cimermancic: Thigh Injury
- ❌ J. Osorio: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ N. Palacio: Lower-Body Injury
- ❌ N. Dorsch: Face Injury
- ❌ D. Dixon: Injury
- ❌ R. Chukwu: International duty
- ❌ K. Franklin: Shoulder Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): K. Thompson; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws