Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 03:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Lumen Field • ☁️ 12.2°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Pinnacle2.1043.6% -8.4%
Double Chance 12 Betano1.2674.9% -5.6%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.5360.2% · No 39.8% -7.9%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Betano1.6258.4% · Under 41.6% -5.4%
Correct Score 2-1 Bet3659.008.2% -26.2%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~13.1 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available71.8% · Under 28.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Seattle Sounders 43.6% · Draw 25.1% · Los Angeles FC 31.3%. Selected outcome: Seattle Sounders win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.43, Los Angeles FC 1.50, expected total 2.93.

Price check

The model favours Seattle Sounders win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Seattle Sounders: L-D-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Los Angeles FC: D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders, 25 May 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Seattle Sounders

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.23
Elo strength rating1519
Players out18

Los Angeles FC

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.09
Elo strength rating1532
Players out19
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles FC
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
4
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
2.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.23
1.09
Elo strength rating
1519
1532
Players out
18
19

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Seattle Sounders

Lost 2 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Los Angeles FC

Winless 3
BTTS
4/4
Over 2.5
3/4
Scored a goal
4/4
No goals conceded
0/4

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Los Angeles FC

3rd best defence (1.10 conceded/game, season) Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (13, season)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Seattle Sounders at home · Los Angeles FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Seattle Sounders (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–5L
W 7
D 4
L 5
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4

Los Angeles FC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–7D–6L
W 3
D 7
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Seattle Sounders (home)Los Angeles FC (away)
W 7
D 4
L 5
W 3
D 7
L 6
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.30
Clean sheets
3
5
Failed to score
4
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.19%
1–0
6.5%
2–0
5.45%
3–1
3.89%
3–2
2.92%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Los Angeles FC 8 wins · 0 draws · Seattle Sounders 1 win · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 2 of 9

8
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 May 2026 Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer
15 May 2025 Los Angeles FC 4–0 Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer
09 Mar 2025 Seattle Sounders 5–2 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer
29 Aug 2024 Seattle Sounders 0–1 Los Angeles FC US Open Cup
18 Aug 2024 Seattle Sounders 0–3 Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup
21 Jul 2024 Seattle Sounders 0–3 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer
25 Feb 2024 Los Angeles FC 2–1 Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer
27 Nov 2023 Seattle Sounders 0–1 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer
22 Jun 2023 Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

Seattle Sounders

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Vancouver Whitecaps Away 1–5 L
29/10 Houston Dynamo Home 0–1 L
25/10 San Diego Away 2–2 D
18/10 CF Montreal Home 1–1 D
15/10 FC Dallas Away 0–1 L
11/10 New England Revolution Away 3–0 W
02/10 Sporting Kansas City Home 2–1 W
27/09 Minnesota United FC Home 3–1 W
24/09 Real Salt Lake Home 2–0 W
20/09 Colorado Rapids Away 3–3 D

Los Angeles FC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 Minnesota United FC Home 1–3 L
26/10 Los Angeles Galaxy Home 2–2 D
18/10 New York City FC Away 1–1 D
15/10 Austin Home 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders #9 · 43 pts ·  Los Angeles FC #6 · 47 pts

Seattle Sounders

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–10D–12L
W 11
D 10
L 12
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets8
Failed to score8
Yellow cards52
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.23
Corners for (avg)8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Los Angeles FC

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–11D–9L
W 12
D 11
L 9
Played32
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets13
Failed to score6
Yellow cards55
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.09
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles FC
W 11
D 10
L 12
W 12
D 11
L 9
Played
33
32
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.10
Clean sheets
8
13
Failed to score
8
6
Yellow cards
52
55
Red cards
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
2.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.23
1.09
Corners for (avg)
8.20
5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Seattle Sounders

3
0-15
5
8
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
6
46-60
9
4
61-75
5
13
76-90
13
scored conceded

Los Angeles FC

5
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
6
31-45
11
7
46-60
10
8
61-75
8
6
76-90
9
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Seattle Sounders

  • ❌ Kim Kee-Hee: Calf Injury
  • ❌ R. Sailor: Knee Injury
  • ❌ P. de La Vega: Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. Morris: Injury
  • ❌ H. Dotson: Concussion
  • ❌ Y. Gomez Andrade: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ N. Petkovic: Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Roldan: Concussion
  • ❌ A. Rusnak: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ A. Roldan: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ P. Arriola: Groin Injury
  • ❌ J. Ragen: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ J. Ferreira: Injury
  • ❌ X. Gnaulati: Injury
  • ❌ P. Kingston: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ D. Joveljic: International duty
  • ❌ S. Brunell: International duty
  • ❌ D. Musovski: Head Injury
  • ❓ G. Minoungou (doubtful): Foot Injury
  • ❓ P. Rothrock (doubtful): Foot Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): S. Hawkins; not counted as confirmed absences.

Los Angeles FC

  • ❌ J. Ebobisse: Leg Injury
  • ❌ Igor Jesus: Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Long: Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ J. Shaffelburg: Groin Injury
  • ❌ L. Dellavalle: Knee Injury
  • ❌ S. Eustaquio: Leg Injury
  • ❌ A. Boudri: Leg Injury
  • ❌ D. Bouanga: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ S. Palencia: Injury
  • ❌ H. Lloris: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Tillman: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Hasal: Arm Injury
  • ❌ D. Martinez: Leg Injury
  • ❌ R. Porteous: Leg Injury
  • ❌ E. Segura: Leg Injury
  • ❌ M. Choiniere: International duty
  • ❌ J. Terry: International duty
  • ❌ L. Walta: International duty
  • ❌ C. Carter: Arm Injury
  • ❓ C. Diaz (doubtful): Injury

More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws