Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Saputo Stadium • 🌦 10.2°C, 16 km/h, 0.4mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available26.9% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available67.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available59.9% · No 40.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available44.2% · Over 55.8% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available12.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available64.3% · Under 35.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

CF Montreal · Home

CF Montreal have taken only two points from their last five matches, with a 1-1 draw at New York City FC the lone bright spot alongside a 0-4 loss at Charlotte. They failed to score in three of those five games, managing just 2 goals while conceding 11.

Vancouver Whitecaps · Away

Vancouver Whitecaps won three of their last five, including home victories of 5-1 over Seattle Sounders and 4-1 over San Diego. Their away form is less imposing, with a 0-1 loss at Colorado Rapids and a 0-0 draw at St. Louis City among the recent results.

Montreal's Scoring Drought

Montreal's recent scoring problems are the clearest signal here: they failed to score in three of their last five matches and have just 2 goals across that run, with a recent weighted xG of 0.84. Yet the latest head-to-head, a 2-1 Montreal win on 16 Sep 2026, shows they can find the net against this opponent, and the prior meeting finished 1-1. Vancouver's away results include a 0-0 draw at St. Louis City and a 0-1 loss at Colorado Rapids, so a low-scoring, level contest is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: CF Montreal 1.37 – 1.55 Vancouver Whitecaps · expected total 2.92

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

CF Montreal

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.68
Elo strength rating1228
Players out18

Vancouver Whitecaps

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.19
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.61
Elo strength rating1615
Players out21
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
1.19
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.68
1.61
Elo strength rating
1228
1615
Players out
18
21

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

CF Montreal

Winless 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Vancouver Whitecaps

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

Worst attack (1.10 goals/game, season)

Vancouver Whitecaps

2nd best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) 2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

CF Montreal at home · Vancouver Whitecaps away, the split that matters for this fixture.

CF Montreal (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–7L
W 4
D 5
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score6

Vancouver Whitecaps (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–4L
W 7
D 5
L 4
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
CF Montreal (home)Vancouver Whitecaps (away)
W 4
D 5
L 7
W 7
D 5
L 4
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.10
Clean sheets
3
5
Failed to score
6
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.62%
0–0
6.55%
2–2
6.09%
3–3
1.44%
4–4
0.19%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

CF Montreal 3 wins · 2 draws · Vancouver Whitecaps 5 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10

3
2
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Sep 2026 CF Montreal 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps Canadian Championship
03 Sep 2026 Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 CF Montreal Canadian Championship
09 Mar 2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer
07 Jul 2024 CF Montreal 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
08 Jun 2023 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 CF Montreal Canadian Championship
02 Apr 2023 Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer
16 Apr 2022 CF Montreal 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer
08 May 2021 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 CF Montreal Major League Soccer
17 Sep 2020 Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 CF Montreal Major League Soccer
14 Sep 2020 Vancouver Whitecaps 2–4 CF Montreal Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

CF Montreal

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 New York City FC Away 1–1 D
29/10 Charlotte Away 0–4 L
24/10 Nashville SC Home 0–2 L
18/10 Seattle Sounders Away 1–1 D
15/10 Atlanta United FC Home 0–3 L
10/10 Toronto FC Away 1–2 L
27/09 FC Cincinnati Home 3–1 W
20/09 Columbus Crew Home 0–2 L
17/09 Vancouver Whitecaps Home 2–1 W
13/09 Colorado Rapids Away 0–1 L

Vancouver Whitecaps

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Seattle Sounders Home 5–1 W
29/10 San Diego Home 4–1 W
25/10 Colorado Rapids Away 0–1 L
18/10 Austin Away 2–1 W
15/10 St. Louis City Away 0–0 D
11/10 Los Angeles FC Away 1–1 D
07/10 Chicago Fire Away 1–3 L
27/09 DC United Home 3–3 D
20/09 Real Salt Lake Away 3–0 W
17/09 CF Montreal Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

CF Montreal ·  Vancouver Whitecaps #1 · 61 pts

CF Montreal

Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score13
Yellow cards74
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.68
Corners for (avg)5.70
Penalties (scored/missed)7/1

Vancouver Whitecaps

Wins–Draws–Losses18W–7D–8L
W 18
D 7
L 8
Played33
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets12
Failed to score6
Yellow cards63
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.19
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.61
Corners for (avg)6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)7/1
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
W 18
D 7
L 8
Played
33
33
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.00
Clean sheets
4
12
Failed to score
13
6
Yellow cards
74
63
Red cards
2
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
1.19
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.68
1.61
Corners for (avg)
5.70
6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
7/1
7/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

CF Montreal

5
0-15
7
8
16-30
6
11
31-45
7
12
46-60
6
9
61-75
5
19
76-90
9
scored conceded

Vancouver Whitecaps

4
0-15
10
5
16-30
13
10
31-45
11
7
46-60
8
2
61-75
11
6
76-90
13
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

CF Montreal

  • ❌ F. Herbers: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ T. Aviles: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ B. Vera: Injury
  • ❌ J. Nteziryayo: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ N. Streit: Illness
  • ❌ W. Carmona: Injury
  • ❌ G. Synchuk: Injury
  • ❌ P. Owusu: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ T. Gillier: Concussion
  • ❌ F. Amaya: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ E. Morales: Toe Injury
  • ❌ D. Pereira: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ J. Neal: Concussion
  • ❌ M. Longstaff: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ O. Escobar: International duty
  • ❌ S. Piette: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ V. Radojevic: International duty
  • ❌ D. Sealy: International duty
  • ❓ S. Ibrahim (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): B. Hidalgo, B. Ceballos, A. Sanchez; not counted as confirmed absences.

Vancouver Whitecaps

  • ❌ S. Adekugbe: Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ R. Gauld: Knee Injury
  • ❌ B. Halbouni: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Veselinovic: Knee Injury
  • ❌ E. Sabbi: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ S. Schonlau: Calf Injury
  • ❌ T. Blackmon: Calf Injury
  • ❌ A. Cubas: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ R. Priso: Injury
  • ❌ T. Muller: Illness
  • ❌ O. Larraz: Hip Injury
  • ❌ Y. Takaoka: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ B. Caicedo: Injury
  • ❌ M. Gherasimencov: Illness
  • ❌ B. White: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Badwal: Concussion
  • ❌ K. Poku: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ E. Ocampo: Concussion
  • ❌ Y. Diaby: International duty
  • ❌ R. Elloumi: International duty
  • ❌ R. Modesto: Muscle Injury
  • ❓ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (doubtful): Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): C. Sabaly (Lacking Match Fitness).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): S. Berhalter, A. Cvetkovic; not counted as confirmed absences.

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