Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 02:10 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot • 🌦 20.1°C, 0 km/h, 2.1mm showers
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 66% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 86.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 44.5% · Yes 55.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 38.2% · Over 61.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 10.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.4% · Over 45.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Atletico Nacional · Home
Atletico Nacional have won all three of their most recent home matches, scoring 2-0 against Santa Fe, 2-1 against Independiente Medellin and 3-0 against Deportivo Pasto. Their recent record shows 4 wins from 5, with 11 goals scored and 3 conceded.
Deportivo Pereira · Away
Deportivo Pereira are unbeaten in their last 5, but 3 of those were draws and they scored only 5 goals. Their recent xG for of 0.33 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics points to a low-output attack.
Nacional's home scoring run
The telling angle is venue: Atletico Nacional have scored at least twice in each of their last three home matches, while Deportivo Pereira's away results in this run were 1-1 draws at Once Caldas and Junior. The latest H2H, a 1-0 Deportivo Pereira home win on 25 Apr 2026, came at their venue, whereas Nacional won the home meeting 3-0. Nacional's model expected goals of 2.26 against Pereira's 0.94 supports a home-controlled match rather than a high-scoring one. The evidence supports Atletico Nacional win.
Published 31 Oct 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Atletico Nacional 2.26 – 0.94 Deportivo Pereira · expected total 3.21
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Atletico Nacional
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Atletico Nacional at home · Deportivo Pereira away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Atletico Nacional (home)
Deportivo Pereira (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Atletico Nacional 5 wins · 1 draw · Deportivo Pereira 4 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Deportivo Pereira | 1–0 | Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| 23 Jul 2025 | Deportivo Pereira | 2–1 | Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Atletico Nacional | 3–0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 08 Nov 2024 | Deportivo Pereira | 1–1 | Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| 18 Apr 2024 | Atletico Nacional | 0–1 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 02 Nov 2023 | Atletico Nacional | 3–1 | Deportivo Pereira | Copa Colombia |
| 20 Oct 2023 | Deportivo Pereira | 2–0 | Atletico Nacional | Copa Colombia |
| 04 Sep 2023 | Atletico Nacional | 2–0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Deportivo Pereira | 0–2 | Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| 17 Feb 2023 | Atletico Nacional | 4–3 | Deportivo Pereira | Superliga |
📈 Recent Form
Atletico Nacional
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Santa Fe | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 26/10 | Independiente Medellin | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 23/10 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Cucuta | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Chico | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 15/10 | Independiente Medellin | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 09/10 | Deportes Tolima | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 01/10 | Junior | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Chapecoense-sc | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/09 | Millonarios | Home | 1–1 | D |
Deportivo Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Jaguares | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Once Caldas | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 21/10 | Chico | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Junior | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/10 | Cucuta | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 29/09 | Santa Fe | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Internacional de Bogota | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Águilas Doradas | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Bucaramanga | Home | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Atletico Nacional #1 · 40 pts · Deportivo Pereira #20 · 10 pts
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws