Jaguares vs Bucaramanga
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:05 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • Estadio Jaraguay • 🌦 30.2°C, 8 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 35.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 68.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 62.8% · Yes 37.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 72.4% · Over 27.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | Current price not available | 17.4% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 55.1% · Over 44.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Jaguares · Home
Jaguares have won both of their most recent home matches, including a 3-2 result against Deportes Tolima, though their latest outing was a 0-1 loss at Deportivo Pereira. Their recent xG for of 0.76 sits below their model expected goals of 0.92 for this fixture.
Bucaramanga · Away
Bucaramanga have drawn two of their last five, with both 1-1 stalemates coming at home, and they failed to score in a 0-1 loss at Chico. Their recent xG for of 0.62 is the lower of the two sides, against a model expected goals of 0.9.
Draws Dominate This Matchup
The latest head-to-head between these sides finished 2-2 in April 2026, and the previous meeting ended 0-0. Bucaramanga's two draws in their last five and Jaguares' one clean sheet in five point to a tight, low-scoring contest. The correct-score pick of 0-0 at 17.4% and Under 2.5 at 72.4% support that reading. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Jaguares 0.92 – 0.90 Bucaramanga · expected total 1.83
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Jaguares
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Jaguares at home · Bucaramanga away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Jaguares (home)
Bucaramanga (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bucaramanga 4 wins · 4 draws · Jaguares 2 wins · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Bucaramanga | 2–2 | Jaguares | Primera A |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Bucaramanga | 0–0 | Jaguares | Primera A |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Jaguares | 0–1 | Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| 08 Aug 2023 | Bucaramanga | 3–0 | Jaguares | Primera A |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Jaguares | 1–1 | Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| 21 Sep 2022 | Jaguares | 0–1 | Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Bucaramanga | 1–0 | Jaguares | Primera A |
| 10 Aug 2021 | Bucaramanga | 0–1 | Jaguares | Primera A |
| 25 Jan 2021 | Jaguares | 2–1 | Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| 04 Dec 2020 | Jaguares | 0–0 | Bucaramanga | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Jaguares
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Llaneros | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 22/10 | Santa Fe | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Millonarios | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 12/10 | Deportes Tolima | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 03/10 | Águilas Doradas | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 28/09 | Alianza Valledupar | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 23/09 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Fortaleza FC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/09 | Junior | Away | 3–3 | D |
Bucaramanga
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Santa Fe | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Chico | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 19/10 | America de Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 14/10 | Águilas Doradas | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/10 | Junior | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Once Caldas | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 21/09 | Internacional de Bogota | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 3–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Jaguares #16 · 18 pts · Bucaramanga #13 · 23 pts
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws