Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 23:30 UTC+3 • Clausura - 17 • Santiago de las Atalayas • 🌧 19.5°C, 3 km/h, 5.5mm showers
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 1.67 → 1.56 ▼7% | Dafabet1.56 | 54.5% | -15% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.15 | 79.3% | -8.8% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.80 | 51.2% · Yes 48.8% | -7.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano1.90 | 53% · Over 47% | +0.7% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Bet3656.50 | 9.7% | -37% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Pinnacle1.76 | 51.8% · Over 48.2% | -8.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Deportivo Pereira · Home
Deportivo Pereira are unbeaten in five, with 3 clean sheets and only 2 goals conceded, but their recent_xg_for of 0.33 is modest and they failed to score in the 0-0 with Deportivo Cali. Their home wins came by 1-0 over Jaguares and 2-0 over Chico.
Deportes Tolima · Away
Deportes Tolima have lost 3 of five without a win, yet their recent_xg_for of 1.74 is far higher than Pereira's and they kept clean sheets in the 0-0s with Atletico Nacional and Chico. The latest H2H was a 2-0 Tolima home win on 18 Apr 2026.
Tolima's H2H edge
Tolima won the latest meeting 2-0 and also took the previous one 1-0, while the only Pereira-hosted H2H in the data finished 0-0. Pereira's unbeaten run of 2 wins and 3 draws includes just 5 goals scored, and their recent_xg_for of 0.33 sits well below Tolima's 1.74. The model_expected_goals are close at 1.2 for Pereira and 1.14 for Tolima, so a single goal could settle it, matching the 0-1 correct-score pick. The evidence supports Deportes Tolima win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Deportivo Pereira 1.20 – 1.14 Deportes Tolima · expected total 2.34
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Deportivo Pereira
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Deportivo Pereira at home · Deportes Tolima away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Deportivo Pereira (home)
Deportes Tolima (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Deportes Tolima 4 wins · 3 draws · Deportivo Pereira 3 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Deportes Tolima | 2–0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 26 Jul 2025 | Deportes Tolima | 1–0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Deportivo Pereira | 0–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 08 Oct 2024 | Deportivo Pereira | 1–0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Deportes Tolima | 2–1 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 07 Sep 2023 | Deportes Tolima | 2–3 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Deportivo Pereira | 1–1 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 26 Sep 2022 | Deportes Tolima | 1–3 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 12 May 2022 | Deportivo Pereira | 1–1 | Deportes Tolima | Copa Colombia |
| 21 Apr 2022 | Deportes Tolima | 3–2 | Deportivo Pereira | Copa Colombia |
📈 Recent Form
Deportivo Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Jaguares | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Once Caldas | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 21/10 | Chico | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Junior | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/10 | Cucuta | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 29/09 | Santa Fe | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Internacional de Bogota | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 19/09 | Águilas Doradas | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/09 | Bucaramanga | Home | 1–3 | L |
Deportes Tolima
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Águilas Doradas | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/10 | Jaguares | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 09/10 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 04/10 | Chico | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 28/09 | Fortaleza FC | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 21/09 | America de Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/09 | Once Caldas | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Santa Fe | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Llaneros | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Deportivo Pereira #20 · 10 pts · Deportes Tolima #6 · 31 pts
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws