Watford vs Lincoln
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Vicarage Road • ⛅ 9.2°C, 15 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Under 9.5 at 2.12 (58.3%, Model EV +23.6%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Pinnacle3.51 | 28.8% | +1.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.44 | 67.8% | -2.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betfair1.73 | 43.7% · No 56.3% | -24.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.93 | 54.2% · Over 45.8% | +4.6% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano6.70 | 14.8% | -0.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Marathonbet1.89 | 58.3% · Over 41.7% | +10.2% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Watford 39.0% · Draw 28.8% · Lincoln 32.2%. Selected outcome: Draw.
Goals
Model expected goals: Watford 1.12, Lincoln 0.99, expected total 2.11.
Price check
Draw at 3.51 gives model EV +1.1%.
Form / H2H
Watford: L-L-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Lincoln: L-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Watford
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Watford
Lincoln
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Watford
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Lincoln
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Watford at home · Lincoln away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Watford (home)
Lincoln (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Watford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Norwich | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Wolves | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Charlton | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Cardiff | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Burnley | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 18/09 | Bristol City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Stoke City | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 08/09 | Preston | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | West Brom | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea | Away | 0–2 | L |
Lincoln
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Birmingham | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Burnley | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Millwall | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 14/10 | West Ham | Home | 0–6 | L |
| 10/10 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Swansea | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Bristol City | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Preston | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Bournemouth | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 05/09 | Southampton | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Watford #21 · 11 pts · Lincoln #16 · 15 pts
Watford
Lincoln
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Watford
Lincoln
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Watford
- ❌ K. Baah: Knock
- ❌ M. Bola: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Ngakia: Thigh Injury
- ❌ O. H. Traore: Injury
- ❌ M. Boadu: Injury
- ❌ E. Bove: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Zemura: Muscle Injury
- ❌ S. Coulibaly: Hamstring Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): T. Akomeah (Lacking Match Fitness), J. Grieves (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): B. Mlacic, M. Antonio; not counted as confirmed absences.
Lincoln
- ❌ S. Bradley: Knock
- ❌ A. Jackson: Surgery
- ❌ J. Collins: Knee Injury
- ❌ T. Darikwa: Knee Injury
- ❌ T. Hamer: Health problems
- ❌ M. Melia: Thigh Injury
- ❌ C. McGrandles: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ F. Draper: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Hackett-Fairchild, E. Wheatley; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: James Bell