Predictions β†’ England FA Cup

Plymouth vs Alvechurch

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 β€’ 15:00 UTC+3 β€’ 1/128-finals β€’ Home Park

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw β€”63% 27.4% β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X β€”67% 66.6% β€” β€”
BTTS Yes β€”82% 51.4% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 β€”79% 46% β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 β€”70% 11.2% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Plymouth 1.41 – 1.20 Alvechurch Β· expected total 2.61

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Plymouth

Form (last 5)
LStevenage (A) 0–3 Β· 20/10/2026LHuddersfield (H) 0–2 Β· 17/10/2026WAFC Wimbledon (H) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026WLeyton Orient (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026LBurton Albion (H) 0–1 Β· 26/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)1.23
xG against (recent avg)0.61
Elo strength ratingβ€”

Alvechurch

Form (last 5)
WSpalding United (H) 4–0 Β· 20/10/2026DSpalding United (A) 2–2 Β· 17/10/2026DHalesowen Town (A) 1–1 Β· 13/10/2026LBury Town (H) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WCambridge City (A) 2–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)β€”
xG against (recent avg)β€”
Elo strength rating1376
PlymouthAlvechurch
LStevenage (A) 0–3 Β· 20/10/2026LHuddersfield (H) 0–2 Β· 17/10/2026WAFC Wimbledon (H) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026WLeyton Orient (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026LBurton Albion (H) 0–1 Β· 26/09/2026
WSpalding United (H) 4–0 Β· 20/10/2026DSpalding United (A) 2–2 Β· 17/10/2026DHalesowen Town (A) 1–1 Β· 13/10/2026LBury Town (H) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WCambridge City (A) 2–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.00
2.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.00
0.80
Win streak (best this season)
0
3
xG for (recent avg)
1.23
β€”
xG against (recent avg)
0.61
β€”
Elo strength rating
β€”
1376

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Plymouth

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Alvechurch

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Plymouth at home Β· Alvechurch away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Plymouth (home)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Alvechurch (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–0L
W 1
D 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Plymouth (home)Alvechurch (away)
W 1
D 1
Played
0
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.2%
0–0
7%
2–2
4.3%
3–3
0.8%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Plymouth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Stevenage Away 0–3 L
17/10 Huddersfield Home 0–2 L
10/10 AFC Wimbledon Home 2–1 W
03/10 Leyton Orient Away 2–0 W
26/09 Burton Albion Home 0–1 L

Alvechurch

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Spalding United Home 4–0 W
17/10 Spalding United Away 2–2 D
13/10 Halesowen Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Bury Town Home 0–1 L
03/10 Cambridge City Away 2–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” FA Cup

Plymouth

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.23
xG against (avg)0.61
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Alvechurch

Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
xG for (avg)β€”
xG against (avg)β€”
Corners for (avg)β€”
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
PlymouthAlvechurch
Played
0
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
2.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.80
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
5
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.23
β€”
xG against (avg)
0.61
β€”
Corners for (avg)
5.30
β€”
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Plymouth

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Alvechurch

0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA Cup predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws