Predictions → England FA Cup

Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 15:00 UTC+3 • 1/128-finals • 🌤 14.2°C, 12 km/h mostly clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available55.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available78.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available63.6% · No 36.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available64.8% · Under 35.2% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.3% · Under 46.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Stafford Rangers 55.3% · Draw 22.9% · Grimsby 21.8%. Selected outcome: Stafford Rangers win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Stafford Rangers 2.09, Grimsby 1.26, expected total 3.35.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Stafford Rangers: W-D-W-D-L in their last five matches.
Grimsby: W-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Stafford Rangers

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1396

Grimsby

Form (last 5)
WWDLL
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.01
Elo strength rating—
Stafford RangersGrimsby
WWDLL
Goals scored (season avg)
2.50
0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
2.01
Elo strength rating
1396
—

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Stafford Rangers

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Grimsby

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Stafford Rangers at home · Grimsby away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Stafford Rangers (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Grimsby (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Stafford Rangers (home)Grimsby (away)
W 3
D 1
Played
4
0
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
0.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.71%
2–0
7.71%
3–1
6.76%
1–0
6.45%
3–0
5.37%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Stafford Rangers

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Gateshead Home 5–0 W
17/10 Gateshead Away 1–1 D
06/10 Halesowen Town Away 2–1 W
03/10 Halesowen Town Home 1–1 D
26/09 Gloucester City Away 0–4 L
19/09 Hereford Home 3–2 W
12/09 Kidsgrove Athletic Away 3–0 W
05/09 Northampton ON Chenecks Home 3–0 W
29/08 Corby Town Away 2–0 W
14/07 Shrewsbury Home 0–0 D

Grimsby

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 York Home 5–2 W
24/10 Gillingham Away 4–1 W
20/10 Rochdale Away 2–2 D
17/10 Northampton Home 0–2 L
10/10 Port Vale Away 0–1 L
03/10 Shrewsbury Home 1–2 L
26/09 Newport County Away 1–2 L
22/09 Notts County Away 1–2 L
19/09 Crawley Town Home 2–0 W
12/09 Bristol Rovers Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: FA Cup

Stafford Rangers

Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards6
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Grimsby

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.01
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Stafford RangersGrimsby
Played
6
0
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
0.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
6
0
Red cards
1
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
2.01
Corners for (avg)
4.50
5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Stafford Rangers

1
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Grimsby

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA Cup predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws