Predictions → England League Two

Walsall vs Barnet

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Bescot Stadium • ☁️ 6.4°C, 15 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.1% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available78.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available78.4% · No 21.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available80.1% · Under 19.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available7.3% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.5 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available50% · Under 50% —

🧠 Match Preview

Walsall · Home

Walsall have scored in all five recent matches, including 3-1 at Colchester and 3-0 against Oldham, with a recent xG for of 1.82 across those recorded games. Their model expected goals of 2.31 for this fixture is the highest figure in the supplied data.

Barnet · Away

Barnet have also scored in every recent match, with a recent xG for of 2.7 and a model expected goals of 2. Their latest meeting with Walsall ended 1-3 in Walsall's favour, while the earlier one finished 1-2.

Walsall's Edge in Open Games

Both teams arrive scoring freely, yet the two head-to-heads split by venue: Walsall won 1-2 at Barnet, while Barnet took 1-3 at Walsall. Walsall's home record includes 2-4 against Salford City, showing this venue has produced goals for both sides. Barnet have no clean sheet in five recent matches, and Walsall failed to score in none of theirs, so a home win in a high-scoring game is realistic. The evidence supports Walsall win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Walsall 2.31 – 2.00 Barnet · expected total 4.31

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Walsall

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.03
Elo strength rating1528

Barnet

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.89
Elo strength rating1601
WalsallBarnet
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.82
2.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.03
1.89
Elo strength rating
1528
1601

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Walsall

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Barnet

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two

Walsall

3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) 3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (6, season)

Barnet

Best attack (2.20 goals/game, season) Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) Worst clean sheets (0, season)

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Walsall at home · Barnet away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Walsall (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–1L
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Barnet (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–0L
W 3
D 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Walsall (home)Barnet (away)
W 3
D 2
L 1
W 3
D 3
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.30
Clean sheets
4
0
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
7.28%
3–1
5.62%
3–2
5.61%
2–0
3.65%
4–1
3.25%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Barnet 1 win · 0 draws · Walsall 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Feb 2026 Walsall 1–3 Barnet League Two
16 Aug 2025 Barnet 1–2 Walsall League Two

📈 Recent Form

Walsall

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Colchester Away 3–1 W
26/10 Salford City Home 2–4 L
20/10 Oldham Home 3–0 W
17/10 Swindon Town Away 1–1 D
13/10 Fulham U21 Home 3–2 W
10/10 Fleetwood Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 Tranmere Away 1–1 D
22/09 Stevenage Home 1–6 L
19/09 Port Vale Home 2–0 W
12/09 Rochdale Home 0–0 D

Barnet

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Crewe Away 1–1 D
27/10 York Home 3–1 W
24/10 Oldham Home 1–1 D
20/10 Swindon Town Home 1–3 L
17/10 Tranmere Away 2–1 W
10/10 Bristol Rovers Away 3–1 W
19/09 Fleetwood Town Home 3–1 W
12/09 Accrington ST Home 2–1 W
05/09 Chesterfield Away 3–3 D
01/09 Exeter City Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: League Two

Walsall #3 · 22 pts ·  Barnet #2 · 26 pts

Walsall

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–7D–1L
W 5
D 7
L 1
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards28
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.03
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Barnet

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–1L
W 7
D 5
L 1
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards27
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.89
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
WalsallBarnet
W 5
D 7
L 1
W 7
D 5
L 1
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.40
Clean sheets
6
0
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
28
27
Red cards
1
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.82
2.70
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.03
1.89
Corners for (avg)
4.00
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Walsall

2
0-15
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
1
2
76-90
8
scored conceded

Barnet

2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
2
4
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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