Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 16 • Stonebridge Road Stadium • 🌦 8.2°C, 4 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 66.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 72.4% · No 27.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 80.2% · Under 19.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Ebbsfleet United · Home
Ebbsfleet United have scored 15 goals across their last five matches, including a 6-1 win over Weston-super-Mare and a 4-0 win over Maidenhead, both at home. Their only defeat in that run was a 0-3 loss at Truro City, and they failed to score in just that one match.
Chesham United · Away
Chesham United are without a win in five, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded, and they failed to score in three of those matches. Their away form includes a 0-2 loss at Dagenham & Redbridge and a 0-5 loss at Forest Green.
Home scoring edge
The latest head-to-head, on 21 Feb 2026, finished 4-1 to Chesham United, but the earlier meeting at Ebbsfleet ended 2-1 in Ebbsfleet's favour. Ebbsfleet's home results this run include 4-0 and 6-1, while Chesham have conceded 13 goals in five. The model gives Ebbsfleet 2.91 expected goals against Chesham's 1.43, and the 2-1 correct-score pick fits a match where both sides have scored in the head-to-heads. The evidence supports Ebbsfleet United win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 2.91 – 1.43 Chesham United · expected total 4.34
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ebbsfleet United
Chesham United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South
Ebbsfleet United
Chesham United
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ebbsfleet United at home · Chesham United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ebbsfleet United (home)
Chesham United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chesham United 1 win · 0 draws · Ebbsfleet United 1 win · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Chesham United | 4–1 | Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ebbsfleet United | 2–1 | Chesham United | National League - South |
📈 Recent Form
Ebbsfleet United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Truro City | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Maidstone Utd | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Maidenhead | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Horsham | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Weston-super-Mare | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 13/10 | AFC Totton | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Hampton & Richmond | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Sholing | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Slough Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
Chesham United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Folkestone Invicta | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 27/10 | Farnham Town | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Dagenham & Redbridge | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Forest Green | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 17/10 | Forest Green | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Chelmsford City | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 03/10 | Real Bedford | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 26/09 | Maidenhead | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Ware | Home | 7–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Horsham | Away | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League South
Ebbsfleet United #3 · 28 pts · Chesham United #21 · 11 pts
Ebbsfleet United
Chesham United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ebbsfleet United
Chesham United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws