Marseille W vs Paris Saint Germain W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • ☁️ 15.2°C, 4 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 81% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 86.2% · No 13.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 89.4% · Under 10.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 3-2 | Current price not available | 6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 62% · Over 38% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Marseille W · Home
Marseille W have won one of their last three, including a 1-0 home win over Nantes W, but lost 0-5 at Lyon W and drew 2-2 at home with FC Fleury 91 W. Their recent xG for over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.36, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 2.84.
Paris Saint Germain W · Away
Paris Saint Germain W drew 1-1 away at Paris FC W and 1-1 away at Manchester City W, won 1-0 at home over Montpellier W, lost 0-4 at home to Lyon W and won 3-1 away at FC Fleury 91 W. Their recent xG for over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 0.47, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 2.46.
Marseille home edge
The latest head-to-head, on 11 Mar 2026, finished 2-1 to Paris Saint Germain W, and the earlier meeting in Marseille ended 1-5. Marseille W have a 1-0 home win over Nantes W among their last three, while Paris Saint Germain W have drawn two of their last five. The model expected goals of 2.84 for Marseille W and 2.46 for Paris Saint Germain W sit well above the visitors' recent xG for of 0.47 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics. The evidence supports Marseille W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Marseille W 2.84 – 2.46 Paris Saint Germain W · expected total 5.30
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Marseille W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Marseille W
Paris Saint Germain W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Feminine Division 1
Marseille W
Paris Saint Germain W
Rank among 12 Feminine Division 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Marseille W at home · Paris Saint Germain W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Marseille W (home)
Paris Saint Germain W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Marseille W 1 win · 0 draws · Paris Saint Germain W 7 wins · avg 4.9 goals · BTTS in 3 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W | 2–1 | Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Marseille W | 1–5 | Paris Saint Germain W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 18 Jan 2020 | Paris Saint Germain W | 11–0 | Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 27 Oct 2019 | Marseille W | 0–5 | Paris Saint Germain W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 22 Apr 2018 | Paris Saint Germain W | 4–0 | Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 18 Nov 2017 | Marseille W | 2–5 | Paris Saint Germain W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Marseille W | 2–0 | Paris Saint Germain W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 25 Sep 2016 | Paris Saint Germain W | 1–0 | Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
📈 Recent Form
Marseille W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Nantes W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Lyon W | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 18/10 | FC Fleury 91 W | Home | 2–2 | D |
Paris Saint Germain W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Paris FC W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 29/10 | Manchester City W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/10 | Montpellier W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Lyon W | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 04/10 | FC Fleury 91 W | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 01/10 | OH Leuven W | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Madrid W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/09 | Nantes W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 11/09 | Strasbourg W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Lens W | Away | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Feminine Division 1
Marseille W #4 · 12 pts · Paris Saint Germain W #2 · 16 pts
Marseille W
Paris Saint Germain W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Marseille W
Paris Saint Germain W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Feminine Division 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws