Paris FC W vs Montpellier W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Stade Charlety • ☀️ 10.6°C, 6 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 72.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 89.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.3% · No 39.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 72.3% · Under 27.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 56.2% · Over 43.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Paris FC W · Home
Paris FC W are unbeaten in five with 12 goals scored and only five conceded, and their most recent home matches include a 1-1 draw with Paris Saint Germain W and a 2-2 draw with Arsenal W. Their weighted recent xG of 2.15 reflects that attacking output, while the model expected goals of 2.78 points to further scoring here.
Montpellier W · Away
Montpellier W are without a win in five, with four goals scored and eight conceded, and they failed to score in two of those matches. Their weighted recent xG of 0.67 is well below the model expected goals of 1.01, underlining the difficulty of creating chances.
Paris FC edge the H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Paris FC W won 0-2 away at Montpellier W on 22 Apr 2026, and also took the previous home meeting 2-1. Montpellier W did win 2-0 in the older fixture, so the series is not one-sided, but Paris FC W have scored in both of the most recent meetings. With Montpellier W drawing three of their last five and failing to score twice, a home win is a realistic outcome. The evidence supports Paris FC W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Paris FC W 2.78 – 1.01 Montpellier W · expected total 3.79
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Paris FC W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Paris FC W
Montpellier W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Feminine Division 1
Paris FC W
Montpellier W
Rank among 12 Feminine Division 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Paris FC W at home · Montpellier W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Paris FC W (home)
Montpellier W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Montpellier W 1 win · 1 draw · Paris FC W 8 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | Montpellier W | 0–2 | Paris FC W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Paris FC W | 2–1 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Montpellier W | 2–0 | Paris FC W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Paris FC W | 4–2 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Paris FC W | 3–0 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Montpellier W | 1–4 | Paris FC W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 10 Mar 2023 | Paris FC W | 2–0 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 28 Oct 2022 | Montpellier W | 1–3 | Paris FC W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Paris FC W | 3–1 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 03 Dec 2021 | Montpellier W | 0–0 | Paris FC W | Feminine Division 1 |
📈 Recent Form
Paris FC W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Paris Saint Germain W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/10 | Häcken W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Toulouse W | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Lens W | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 30/09 | Arsenal W | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 23/09 | Barcelona W | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 18/09 | Strasbourg W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon W | Away | 1–7 | L |
| 06/09 | Nantes W | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 29/05 | Lyon W | Away | 0–5 | L |
Montpellier W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lyon W | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 23/10 | Paris Saint Germain W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Le Havre W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Nantes W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Marseille W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Saint-Malo W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Toulouse W | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 06/05 | Lyon W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 25/04 | Saint-Étienne W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 22/04 | Paris FC W | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Feminine Division 1
Paris FC W #3 · 13 pts · Montpellier W #8 · 6 pts
Paris FC W
Montpellier W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Paris FC W
Montpellier W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Feminine Division 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws