Cagliari vs Frosinone
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Unipol Domus • ☁️ 21.1°C, 11 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 3.1 → 2.5 ▼19% | 1xBet2.50 | 39.8% | -0.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.31 | 75.2% | -1.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.50 | 68.2% · No 31.8% | +2.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.60 | 62.2% · Under 37.8% | -0.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Bet36510.00 | 8.4% | -16% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.2 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.8% · Under 45.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cagliari · Home
Cagliari have lost four of their last five, conceding 13 goals across that run, including a 0-4 defeat at Monza and a 0-2 home loss to Bologna. They did hold Juventus to a 1-1 draw at home, but their recent xG for of 1.06 sits well below their model expected goals of 1.68.
Frosinone · Away
Frosinone have scored 15 goals in their last five, with a 5-1 win over Lecce and a 4-4 draw at Atalanta. Their recent xG for of 1.96 is the stronger attacking baseline in this matchup.
Frosinone's Scoring Surge
The latest H2H, a 4-1 Cagliari win on 23 Sep 2025, shows this pairing produces goals, and the two meetings before it finished 3-1 and 4-3. Frosinone's recent output of 15 goals in five matches contrasts with Cagliari's 13 conceded in the same span. The model gives Frosinone a model expected goals of 1.76 against a Cagliari side without a clean sheet in five. The evidence supports Frosinone win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cagliari 1.68 – 1.76 Frosinone · expected total 3.43
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cagliari
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cagliari
Frosinone
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Cagliari
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Frosinone
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cagliari at home · Frosinone away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cagliari (home)
Frosinone (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cagliari 3 wins · 3 draws · Frosinone 1 win · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | Cagliari | 4–1 | Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Frosinone | 3–1 | Cagliari | Serie A |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Cagliari | 4–3 | Frosinone | Serie A |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Cagliari | 0–0 | Frosinone | Serie B |
| 27 Nov 2022 | Frosinone | 2–2 | Cagliari | Serie B |
| 20 Apr 2019 | Cagliari | 1–0 | Frosinone | Serie A |
| 02 Dec 2018 | Frosinone | 1–1 | Cagliari | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Cagliari
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lazio | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | AS Roma | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Bologna | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 19/10 | Monza | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 11/10 | Juventus | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Udinese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Atalanta | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 07/09 | Lecce | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/09 | Hellas Verona | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Inter | Home | 0–1 | L |
Frosinone
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Torino | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 29/10 | Lecce | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Atalanta | Away | 4–4 | D |
| 16/10 | Sassuolo | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 10/10 | Napoli | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 02/10 | Benevento | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Como | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Genoa | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Venezia | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 29/08 | Fiorentina | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Cagliari #12 · 13 pts · Frosinone #6 · 20 pts
Cagliari
Frosinone
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cagliari
Frosinone
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Cagliari
- ❌ S. Esposito: Injury
- ❌ Kevin: Personal Reasons
- ❌ Y. Mina: Calf Injury
- ❌ M'Bala Nzola: Fitness
- ❌ Y. Trepy: Wound
- ❌ Riyad Idrissi: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ M. Felici: Jumpers Knee
- ❌ H. Winks: Back Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Albarracin, Y. Sugawara; not counted as confirmed absences.
Frosinone
- ❌ F. Ghedjemis: Calf Injury
- ❌ F. Grillitsch: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Birligea: Muscle Injury
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws