Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • ☀️ 21.4°C, 8 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.51 | 64.7% | -2.3% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 84.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.6% · No 42.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 60.7% · Under 39.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 10% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.8% · Over 48.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cordoba · Home
Cordoba have scored in each of their last five matches, including a 2-0 home win over Eibar, and their recent xG for of 1.77 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics supports a steady attacking floor. The model expected goals of 2.11 for this fixture points to the stronger home output.
AD Ceuta FC · Away
AD Ceuta FC have lost four of their last five, conceding 10 goals in that run, and failed to score in the 0-2 home defeat to Sporting Gijon. Their latest head-to-head was a 3-2 win at home, but the earlier meeting in Cordoba finished 2-0 to the hosts.
Cordoba's scoring edge at home
The venue split in the head-to-head is the telling detail: Cordoba won the meeting staged in Cordoba 2-0, while Ceuta's 3-2 success came on their own ground. Cordoba have scored in all five recent matches, and Ceuta have conceded 10 goals across their last five while failing to score once. With the model expected goals at 2.11 for Cordoba against 1.04 for Ceuta, a home victory is a realistic reading of the evidence. The evidence supports Cordoba win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cordoba 2.11 – 1.04 AD Ceuta FC · expected total 3.15
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cordoba
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Cordoba
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
AD Ceuta FC
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cordoba at home · AD Ceuta FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cordoba (home)
AD Ceuta FC (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AD Ceuta FC 1 win · 4 draws · Cordoba 3 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | AD Ceuta FC | 3–2 | Cordoba | Segunda División |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Cordoba | 2–0 | AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| 18 Feb 2024 | AD Ceuta FC | 1–1 | Cordoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Cordoba | 3–3 | AD Ceuta FC | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Cordoba | 1–1 | AD Ceuta FC | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 06 Nov 2022 | AD Ceuta FC | 1–2 | Cordoba | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| 08 May 2022 | Cordoba | 3–2 | AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| 19 Dec 2021 | AD Ceuta FC | 0–0 | Cordoba | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
📈 Recent Form
Cordoba
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Celta de Vigo II | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 27/10 | Atlético Paso | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Eibar | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/10 | Leganes | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Eldense | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 05/10 | Tenerife | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 27/09 | Valladolid | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/09 | Albacete | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Almeria | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 07/09 | Sabadell | Away | 2–3 | L |
AD Ceuta FC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sporting Gijon | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Cadiz | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Oviedo | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Sabadell | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Castellón | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Real Sociedad II | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Valladolid | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/09 | Burgos | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Celta de Vigo II | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Mallorca | Away | 0–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Cordoba #11 · 16 pts · AD Ceuta FC #22 · 5 pts
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws