Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Cadiz vs Oviedo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:15 UTC+3 • Round 13 • JP Financial Estadio • ☁️ 21.7°C, 17 km/h, 0.1mm overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available27% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available66.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available59.9% · No 40.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available44.3% · Over 55.7% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available12.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available58.1% · Under 41.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Cadiz · Home

Cadiz have scored 8 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-0 win over Leganes and a 3-1 win over AD Ceuta FC at home. However, they failed to score in two of those five, losing 0-2 at Granada CF and 0-1 at home to Sporting Gijon.

Oviedo · Away

Oviedo have scored in all five of their recent matches, totalling 10 goals, with a 2-2 draw at Almeria and a 2-1 win at AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was a 1-4 loss at Eldense.

Cadiz Home Edge Meets Oviedo Scoring

The latest head-to-head, on 1 Jun 2025, finished 2-1 to Oviedo, while Cadiz won the two prior meetings 2-0, including 2-0 at home. Cadiz's recent home record shows both a 4-0 win and a 0-1 loss, and Oviedo have scored in each of their last five. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Cadiz 1.53 – 1.39 Oviedo · expected total 2.92

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Cadiz

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.85
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.59
Elo strength rating1352

Oviedo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.00
Elo strength rating1459
CadizOviedo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.85
1.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.59
2.00
Elo strength rating
1352
1459

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Cadiz

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Oviedo

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División

Cadiz

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Oviedo

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Cadiz at home · Oviedo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Cadiz (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Oviedo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Cadiz (home)Oviedo (away)
W 2
D 2
L 3
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.70
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
3
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
12.65%
0–0
6.57%
2–2
6.1%
3–3
1.44%
4–4
0.19%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cadiz 4 wins · 1 draw · Oviedo 5 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

4
1
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Jun 2025 Oviedo 2–1 Cadiz Segunda División
26 Oct 2024 Cadiz 2–0 Oviedo Segunda División
04 Jul 2020 Cadiz 2–0 Oviedo Segunda División
15 Dec 2019 Oviedo 0–2 Cadiz Segunda División
03 Feb 2019 Oviedo 2–1 Cadiz Segunda División
01 Sep 2018 Cadiz 1–1 Oviedo Segunda División
10 Feb 2018 Cadiz 2–1 Oviedo Segunda División
17 Sep 2017 Oviedo 1–0 Cadiz Segunda División
04 Mar 2017 Oviedo 2–1 Cadiz Segunda División
25 Sep 2016 Cadiz 0–2 Oviedo Segunda División

📈 Recent Form

Cadiz

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25/10 AD Ceuta FC Home 3–1 W
18/10 Granada CF Away 0–2 L
11/10 Sporting Gijon Home 0–1 L
03/10 Leganes Home 4–0 W
26/09 Tenerife Away 1–1 D
19/09 Girona Home 1–2 L
12/09 Las Palmas Home 0–1 L
06/09 Almeria Away 2–3 L
30/08 Valladolid Home 1–1 D
22/08 Eldense Away 2–2 D

Oviedo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Almeria Away 2–2 D
18/10 AD Ceuta FC Away 2–1 W
12/10 Eibar Home 3–1 W
02/10 Eldense Away 1–4 L
27/09 Sporting Gijon Home 2–0 W
20/09 Sabadell Away 1–3 L
13/09 Valladolid Away 3–0 W
06/09 Burgos Home 0–0 D
29/08 Albacete Away 1–0 W
22/08 Leganes Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División

Cadiz #19 · 10 pts ·  Oviedo #9 · 18 pts

Cadiz

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–5L
W 2
D 4
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards36
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.85
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.59
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Oviedo

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–3L
W 5
D 3
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards35
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.00
Corners for (avg)6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
CadizOviedo
W 2
D 4
L 5
W 5
D 3
L 3
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.10
Clean sheets
2
5
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
36
35
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.85
1.71
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.59
2.00
Corners for (avg)
5.10
6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Cadiz

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Oviedo

0-15
3
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
5
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws