Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 03:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Rio Tinto Stadium • ☁️ 10.8°C, 8 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 08 Nov 2026 04:33 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.65 → 1.75 ▲6% Betano1.7554.9% -3.9%
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.2278% -4.8%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.4467.6% · No 32.4% -2.7%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Bet3651.4068% · Under 32% -4.8%
Correct Score 2-1 Bet3659.009.1% -18.1%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.2 exp.) Over 9.5 Pinnacle1.6055.1% · Under 44.9% -11.8%

🧠 Match Preview

Real Salt Lake · Home

Real Salt Lake have scored in all five recent matches, including a 3-0 home win over St. Louis City and a 3-1 away win at Sporting Kansas City, for 10 goals in that stretch. Their model expected goals of 1.88 is the higher of the two forecasts.

Los Angeles Galaxy · Away

Los Angeles Galaxy have scored 12 goals across five recent matches but conceded 11, including a 2-6 loss at St. Louis City. Their recent xG for of 1.9 is higher than Real Salt Lake's 1.41 over the same recorded window.

Galaxy leak goals on the road

The latest head-to-head, on 26 Apr 2026, finished 2-1 to Los Angeles Galaxy, and the two meetings before that produced 3-3 and 2-0, so this fixture has recently favoured the visitors. The counterweight is Galaxy's defensive record: 11 goals conceded in five matches, including the 2-6 defeat at St. Louis City. Real Salt Lake scored 10 goals across their five recent matches and failed to score in none of them, giving the home side a realistic route to the win. The evidence supports Real Salt Lake win.

Published 07 Nov 2026 22:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Real Salt Lake 1.95 – 1.51 Los Angeles Galaxy · expected total 3.46

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Real Salt Lake

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
Elo strength rating1462
Players out22

Los Angeles Galaxy

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.74
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.74
Elo strength rating1440
Players out20
Real Salt LakeLos Angeles Galaxy
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.10
1.74
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.01
1.74
Elo strength rating
1462
1440
Players out
22
20

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Real Salt Lake

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Los Angeles Galaxy

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Los Angeles Galaxy

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Real Salt Lake at home · Los Angeles Galaxy away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Real Salt Lake (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–3D–4L
W 9
D 3
L 4
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3

Los Angeles Galaxy (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–7L
W 4
D 5
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Real Salt Lake (home)Los Angeles Galaxy (away)
W 9
D 3
L 4
W 4
D 5
L 7
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.10
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.08%
2–0
6.02%
3–1
5.9%
1–0
5.25%
3–2
4.45%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Los Angeles Galaxy 4 wins · 4 draws · Real Salt Lake 3 wins · avg 3.4 goals · BTTS in 8 of 11

4
4
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Nov 2026 Real Salt Lake 2–1 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer
27 Apr 2026 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer
13 Feb 2026 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–3 Real Salt Lake Friendlies Clubs
01 Jun 2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer
05 Apr 2025 Real Salt Lake 2–0 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer
23 Jun 2024 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer
12 May 2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer
15 Oct 2023 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer
08 Jun 2023 Real Salt Lake 3–2 Los Angeles Galaxy US Open Cup
01 Jun 2023 Real Salt Lake 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

Real Salt Lake

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/11 Los Angeles Galaxy Home 2–1 W
01/11 San Jose Earthquakes Away 1–2 L
29/10 Austin Away 2–1 W
25/10 St. Louis City Home 3–0 W
18/10 Sporting Kansas City Away 3–1 W
15/10 San Jose Earthquakes Home 1–1 D
11/10 Philadelphia Union Away 1–2 L
27/09 New England Revolution Home 3–0 W
24/09 Seattle Sounders Away 0–2 L
20/09 Vancouver Whitecaps Home 0–3 L

Los Angeles Galaxy

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/11 Real Salt Lake Away 1–2 L
01/11 Austin Home 4–1 W
26/10 Los Angeles FC Away 2–2 D
18/10 San Diego Home 2–2 D
15/10 Portland Timbers Home 2–0 W
12/10 St. Louis City Away 2–6 L
27/09 Colorado Rapids Home 3–2 W
20/09 Minnesota United FC Away 3–2 W
13/09 Seattle Sounders Home 1–1 D
10/09 Vancouver Whitecaps Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake #11 · 42 pts ·  Los Angeles Galaxy #7 · 44 pts

Real Salt Lake

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–6D–15L
W 12
D 6
L 15
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score6
Yellow cards74
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
Corners for (avg)5.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Los Angeles Galaxy

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–11D–11L
W 11
D 11
L 11
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Yellow cards69
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.74
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.74
Corners for (avg)3.90
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Real Salt LakeLos Angeles Galaxy
W 12
D 6
L 15
W 11
D 11
L 11
Played
33
33
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.70
Clean sheets
4
5
Failed to score
6
4
Yellow cards
74
69
Red cards
1
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.10
1.74
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.01
1.74
Corners for (avg)
5.90
3.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Real Salt Lake

7
0-15
7
10
16-30
9
7
31-45
7
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
11
76-90
10
scored conceded

Los Angeles Galaxy

8
0-15
10
7
16-30
6
13
31-45
9
9
46-60
7
9
61-75
5
9
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Real Salt Lake

  • ❌ E. Eneli: Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Henry: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ D. Luna: Knee Injury
  • ❌ V. Olatunji: Eye injury
  • ❌ D. Yedlin: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Piol: Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ T. Wolff: Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Z. Booth: Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Hezarkhani: Groin Injury
  • ❌ J. Sanabria: Injury
  • ❌ J. Barea: Knee Injury
  • ❌ P. Quinton: Leg Injury
  • ❌ L. Engel: Hip Injury
  • ❌ J. Glad: Groin Injury
  • ❌ M. Guilavogui: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ G. Dillon: Foot Injury
  • ❌ S. Spierings: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ S. Junqua: Concussion
  • ❌ L. De Fougerolles: International duty
  • ❌ A. Katranis: Groin Injury
  • ❌ S. Lobjanidze: International duty
  • ❌ L. Moisa: International duty

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): J. J. Arias, D. Zagar; not counted as confirmed absences.

Los Angeles Galaxy

  • ❌ E. Cerrillo: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ R. Puig: Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Rindov: Injury
  • ❌ E. Thommy: Injury
  • ❌ C. Garces: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Gabriel Pec: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ J. Paintsil: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Glesnes: Calf Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Nascimento: Injury
  • ❌ Joao Klauss: Foot Injury
  • ❌ J. Aude: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ M. Yoshida: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Ramos: International duty
  • ❌ M. Yamane: Hip Injury
  • ❌ R. Dalgado: Injury
  • ❌ L. Sanabria: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ J. Marcinkowski: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ S. Roberto: Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ H. Lozano: International duty
  • ❌ K. Furuhashi: Hamstring Injury
  • ❓ E. Wynder (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): I. Parente, M. Reus; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: Joseph Dickerson