Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Palmeiras vs Remo

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 01:30 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Nubank Parque • 🌦 20.7°C, 7 km/h, 0.5mm drizzle

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Correct Score: 1-0
Model probability 16.1% · Market implied at best price ≈ 12.5% · EV at shown price +28.8%
Best odds 8.00 · Bet365 Betfair 7.501xBet 7.50

Snapshotted at publish: 1-0 at 7.50 (17.0%, Model EV +27.5%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.24 → 1.26 ▲2% Betano1.2675.3% -5.1%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.0692% -2.5%
BTTS No William Hill1.7562.3% · Yes 37.7% +9%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Pinnacle2.4845.4% · Over 54.6% +12.6%
Correct Score 1-0 Bet3658.0016.1% +28.8%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.6 exp.) Over 9.5 Betano1.2769.1% · Under 30.9% -12.2%

🧠 Match Preview

Palmeiras · Home

Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2, with 3 clean sheets. Their recent xG for of 2.28 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics points to a steady attacking base, though they failed to score twice in that run.

Remo · Away

Remo drew 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4, and failed to score twice. Their recent xG for of 0.8 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is modest, and the model expected goals of 0.59 for this fixture is lower still.

Palmeiras edge in low-scoring profile

The latest head-to-head, a 1-1 draw in May 2026, is the only meeting in the supplied data and shows Remo can hold Palmeiras. Palmeiras' recent run includes a 0-0 draw at Santos and a 0-1 home loss to Fluminense, so a narrow home win fits their profile. Remo drew 0-0 at Vasco da Gama and 1-1 at home to Gremio, supporting a tight contest. The 1-0 correct score and Under 2.5 lean align with Palmeiras' 3 clean sheets in 5 and Remo's 4 goals in 5. The evidence supports Palmeiras win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Palmeiras 1.72 – 0.59 Remo · expected total 2.31

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Palmeiras

Form (last 5)
DWLWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.77
Elo strength rating1739
Players out17

Remo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.80
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.81
Elo strength rating1350
Players out19
PalmeirasRemo
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.70
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
5
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.28
0.80
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.77
1.81
Elo strength rating
1739
1350
Players out
17
19

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Palmeiras

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Remo

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A

Palmeiras

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (16, season)

Remo

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Palmeiras at home · Remo away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Palmeiras (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–3D–1L
W 12
D 3
L 1
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets7
Failed to score1

Remo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–10L
W 2
D 4
L 10
Played16
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score8
Palmeiras (home)Remo (away)
W 12
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 4
L 10
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.80
Clean sheets
7
2
Failed to score
1
8

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
16.07%
2–0
14.68%
2–1
8.69%
3–0
8.41%
3–1
4.98%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Palmeiras 0 wins · 1 draw · Remo 0 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 May 2026 Remo 1–1 Palmeiras Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Palmeiras

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Santos Away 0–0 D
25/10 RB Bragantino Home 2–0 W
22/10 Fluminense Home 0–1 L
18/10 Atletico Paranaense Away 2–0 W
15/10 Fluminense Away 2–1 W
11/10 Corinthians Home 4–1 W
09/10 Bahia Home 1–0 W
20/09 Gremio Away 0–0 D
13/09 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
10/09 LDU de Quito Home 1–0 W

Remo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Botafogo Home 2–1 W
24/10 Cruzeiro Away 0–1 L
19/10 RB Bragantino Home 1–1 D
11/10 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–0 D
08/10 Gremio Home 1–1 D
20/09 Santos Home 1–2 L
15/09 Bahia Away 1–2 L
06/09 Flamengo Home 0–1 L
01/09 Coritiba Home 2–3 L
22/08 Fluminense Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A

Palmeiras #2 · 70 pts ·  Remo #19 · 29 pts

Palmeiras

Wins–Draws–Losses20W–10D–3L
W 20
D 10
L 3
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets16
Failed to score5
Yellow cards77
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.77
Corners for (avg)8.10
Penalties (scored/missed)3/2

Remo

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–11D–16L
W 6
D 11
L 16
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score11
Yellow cards68
Red cards5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.80
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.81
Corners for (avg)6.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2
PalmeirasRemo
W 20
D 10
L 3
W 6
D 11
L 16
Played
33
33
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.50
Clean sheets
16
4
Failed to score
5
11
Yellow cards
77
68
Red cards
6
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.28
0.80
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.77
1.81
Corners for (avg)
8.10
6.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/2
1/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Palmeiras

2
0-15
10
1
16-30
10
5
31-45
9
7
46-60
8
3
61-75
9
7
76-90
8
scored conceded

Remo

4
0-15
6
9
16-30
3
11
31-45
7
7
46-60
9
4
61-75
4
13
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Palmeiras

  • ❌ Lucas Evangelista: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Paulinho: Leg Injury
  • ❌ J. Piquerez: Injury
  • ❌ Marlon Freitas: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Allan Elias: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Benedetti: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Bruno Fuchs: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ R. Sosa: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Andreas Pereira: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Carlos Miguel: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ A. Giay: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ G. Gomez: International duty
  • ❌ J. Lopez: International duty
  • ❌ E. Martinez: International duty
  • ❌ A. Barboza: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Khellven: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Arthur Gabriel: Suspended (Red Card)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Felipe Anderson, Figueiredo, J. Arias, Mauricio, Murilo, Vitor Roque, Jefte; not counted as confirmed absences.

Remo

  • ❌ Diego Hernandez: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Savio: Injury
  • ❌ Patrick de Paula: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Joao Lucas: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Vitor Bueno: Calf Injury
  • ❌ Ze Ricardo: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Ze Welison: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Yago Pikachu: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ David Braga: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Taliari: Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Jaja: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Marllon: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ D. Tchamba: Injury
  • ❌ Ze Ivaldo: Suspended (Suspended)
  • ❌ Mayk: Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Felipe: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Gabriel Poveda: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Galeano: Suspended (Yellow Cards)

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Freitas (Loan agreement), Kayky Almeida (Loan agreement), Patrick (Loan agreement).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Eduardo Melo, P. Tachtsidis, Thalisson, B. Cufre, Marcelo Rangel, Marcelinho, Edson Fernando, Tico; not counted as confirmed absences.

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