Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • 🌦 20.9°C, 14 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 48.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 75.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 55.5% · No 44.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.3% · Under 47.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.4% · Over 41.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Santa Fe · Home
Santa Fe have won three of their last five, including home wins over Bucaramanga and Jaguares by the same 2-1 and 2-1 scorelines. Their recent xG for of 1.21 sits below a model expected goals figure of 1.66 for this fixture.
Deportivo Pasto · Away
Deportivo Pasto have scored just twice across their last five, failing to score in three of those matches. Their most recent away outing ended in a 1-2 defeat at Bucaramanga.
Santa Fe edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 23 Apr 2026, finished 1-2 to Santa Fe away from home, and the two meetings before that both ended 1-1 and 1-1. Pasto's away form includes a 1-0 win at Deportes Tolima but also a 0-3 loss at Atletico Nacional. Santa Fe's home wins this run came by single-goal margins, matching a correct-score lean of 2-1. The evidence supports Santa Fe win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Santa Fe 1.66 – 1.11 Deportivo Pasto · expected total 2.77
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Santa Fe
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Santa Fe at home · Deportivo Pasto away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Santa Fe (home)
Deportivo Pasto (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Deportivo Pasto 4 wins · 2 draws · Santa Fe 4 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Deportivo Pasto | 1–2 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Deportivo Pasto | 1–1 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Santa Fe | 1–1 | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| 03 Dec 2024 | Santa Fe | 1–2 | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Deportivo Pasto | 1–0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 18 Jul 2024 | Santa Fe | 2–1 | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Deportivo Pasto | 0–1 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Deportivo Pasto | 2–0 | Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 15 Feb 2023 | Santa Fe | 0–2 | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Santa Fe | 2–1 | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Santa Fe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bucaramanga | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/10 | Jaguares | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/10 | Llaneros | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/10 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Union Magdalena | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 23/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Alianza Valledupar | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Vasco DA Gama | Away | 0–2 | L |
Deportivo Pasto
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bucaramanga | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/10 | Deportes Tolima | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 23/10 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/10 | Alianza Valledupar | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Fortaleza FC | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Chico | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Once Caldas | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | America de Cali | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Independiente Medellin | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Cucuta | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Santa Fe #7 · 29 pts · Deportivo Pasto #3 · 34 pts
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws