Blackburn vs Stoke City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Ewood Park • ⛅ 8.2°C, 12 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Over 9.5 at 1.58 (68.3%, Model EV +7.9%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Dafabet3.40 | 28.2% | -4.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.52 | 65.4% | -0.6% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.82 | 53.5% · No 46.5% | -2.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.77 | 53.9% · Over 46.1% | -4.6% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano6.60 | 13.8% | -8.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.4 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Pinnacle1.56 | 68.3% · Under 31.7% | +6.5% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Blackburn · Home
Blackburn's recent record shows three wins and two defeats from five, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. The two most recent home matches produced wins of 2-0 against Wrexham and 2-1 against Cardiff, though the latest outing was a 0-4 loss at Swansea.
Stoke City · Away
Stoke City have 3 clean sheets in their last five and conceded only 4 goals, including a 0-0 draw with Bristol City and a 1-0 win at Derby. Their recent xG for of 0.81 sits below Blackburn's 1.12, yet the model gives Stoke 1.2 expected goals here.
H2H draws point to stalemate
The latest head-to-head, on 11 Apr 2026, finished 1-1 at Stoke, and the previous meeting in October 2025 also ended 1-1. Both sides have failed to score once in their last five, while Stoke's three clean sheets underline how often their matches stay tight. Blackburn's home wins of 2-0 and 2-1 show they can edge games, but the repeated 1-1 pattern in this matchup makes a share of the points realistic. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Blackburn 1.39 – 1.20 Stoke City · expected total 2.58
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Blackburn
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Blackburn
Stoke City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Blackburn
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Stoke City
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Blackburn at home · Stoke City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Blackburn (home)
Stoke City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Blackburn 3 wins · 2 draws · Stoke City 5 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Stoke City | 1–1 | Blackburn | Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Blackburn | 1–1 | Stoke City | Championship |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Stoke City | 1–0 | Blackburn | Championship |
| 06 Nov 2024 | Blackburn | 0–2 | Stoke City | Championship |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Blackburn | 3–1 | Stoke City | Championship |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Stoke City | 0–3 | Blackburn | Championship |
| 10 Mar 2023 | Stoke City | 3–2 | Blackburn | Championship |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Blackburn | 0–1 | Stoke City | Championship |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Blackburn | 0–1 | Stoke City | Championship |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Stoke City | 0–1 | Blackburn | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Blackburn
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Swansea | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Wrexham | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | West Brom | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Bristol City | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Cardiff | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Portsmouth | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Millwall | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sheffield Utd | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Preston | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 01/09 | Lincoln | Away | 0–0 | D |
Stoke City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Preston | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Bristol City | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Derby | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Middlesbrough | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Bolton | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheffield Utd | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Watford | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 08/09 | Cardiff | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Charlton | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Norwich | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Blackburn #13 · 18 pts · Stoke City #7 · 23 pts
Blackburn
Stoke City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Blackburn
Stoke City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Blackburn
- ❌ M. Baradji: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ D. De Neve: Injury
- ❌ M. Jorgensen: Injury
- ❌ A. Kargbo: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Miller: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ S. Wharton: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Litherland: Muscle Injury
- ❌ T. Atcheson: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Forshaw: Hip Injury
- ❌ Y. Ribeiro: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ R. Morishita: Injury
- ❌ S. Morsy: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Y. Ohashi, H. Pickering; not counted as confirmed absences.
Stoke City
- ❌ A. Ampah: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ A. Cresswell: Injury
- ❌ J. Tchamadeu: Knee Injury
- ❌ L. Cisse: Knock
- ❌ B. Lawal: Health problems
- ❌ B. Gibson: Head Injury
- ❌ S. Ingelsson: Injury
- ❌ S. Gallagher: Injury
- ❌ M. Talovierov: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. Bocat: Injury
- ❌ E. Galbraith: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Andrew Kitchen