Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 17:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Bescot Stadium • ☁️ 9.9°C, 14 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 49.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 47.4% · Yes 52.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 51.1% · Over 48.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 10.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 51.9% · Under 48.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Aston Villa W · Home
Aston Villa W are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals and failing to score in none of those matches. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at Arsenal W, and they also drew 1-1 at home with Birmingham City W.
Birmingham City W · Away
Birmingham City W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last five, including a 1-1 draw at Arsenal W and a 5-0 win at Durham W. They were beaten 1-4 at home by Tottenham Hotspur W in their latest match.
Villa's Edge in Tight H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 28 Oct 2026, finished 1-1 between these sides, and the two prior meetings both ended 0-1. Villa's recent record of 3 wins and 2 draws from 5, with 9 goals scored, supports a narrow home edge, while Birmingham City W's 1-1 draw at Arsenal W shows they are hard to beat. With the model's expected goals at 1.6 for Villa and 1.04 for Birmingham City W, a single-goal margin is realistic. The evidence supports Aston Villa W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Aston Villa W 1.60 – 1.04 Birmingham City W · expected total 2.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Aston Villa W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: FA WSL
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Aston Villa W at home · Birmingham City W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Aston Villa W (home)
Birmingham City W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Aston Villa W 1 win · 2 draws · Birmingham City W 2 wins · avg 1.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Aston Villa W | 1–1 | Birmingham City W | WSL Cup |
| 08 May 2022 | Aston Villa W | 0–1 | Birmingham City W | FA WSL |
| 14 Nov 2021 | Birmingham City W | 0–1 | Aston Villa W | FA WSL |
| 28 Apr 2021 | Birmingham City W | 1–1 | Aston Villa W | FA WSL |
| 15 Nov 2020 | Aston Villa W | 0–1 | Birmingham City W | FA WSL |
📈 Recent Form
Aston Villa W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arsenal W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 28/10 | Birmingham City W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Everton W | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 21/10 | Burnley W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Liverpool W | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 04/10 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Newcastle United W | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 23/09 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Brighton W | Away | 1–1 | D |
Birmingham City W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tottenham Hotspur W | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 28/10 | Aston Villa W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Charlton Athletic W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Durham W | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Arsenal W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Everton W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 30/09 | Liverpool W | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 23/09 | Everton W | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Chelsea W | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: FA WSL
Aston Villa W #9 · 10 pts · Birmingham City W #12 · 6 pts
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws