Predictions β†’ England League Cup

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 20:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round of 16 β€’ Highbury Stadium β€’ 🌀 17Β°C, 10 km/h mostly clear

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS β€” Yes
Model 48.9% Β· Market best price β‰ˆ 37.7% Β· Edge +12.8 pp
Best odds 2.65 Β· Betano Bet365 2.62BetVictor 2.60

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly β€” confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away Betano1.1092% 80% 91.6% -11.6 pp
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.0570% 80% 93.9% -13.9 pp
BTTS Yes Betano2.6581% 48.9% 36.1% +12.8 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Betano1.3780% 46.7% 70% -23.3 pp
Correct Score 1-2 Betano14.0059% 5.3% 3.6% +1.7 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) Under 9.5 1xBet2.6462% 53.5% 34.7% +18.8 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Fleetwood Town 1.63 – 1.21 Arsenal Β· expected total 2.84

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Fleetwood Town

Form (last 5)
LCheltenham (A) 2–4 Β· 20/10/2026WRotherham (H) 2–0 Β· 17/10/2026DWalsall (H) 1–1 Β· 10/10/2026WBarnsley (H) 4–1 Β· 06/10/2026LSalford City (A) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)0.94
xG against (recent avg)0.37

Arsenal

Form (last 5)
WNottingham Forest (A) 1–0 Β· 18/10/2026WLille (H) 3–0 Β· 13/10/2026WLeeds (H) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026LBrighton (A) 0–3 Β· 19/09/2026WIpswich (A) 4–2 Β· 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)4.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.47
xG against (recent avg)0.49
Fleetwood TownArsenal
LCheltenham (A) 2–4 Β· 20/10/2026WRotherham (H) 2–0 Β· 17/10/2026DWalsall (H) 1–1 Β· 10/10/2026WBarnsley (H) 4–1 Β· 06/10/2026LSalford City (A) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
4.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.00
2.00
Win streak (best this season)
3
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.94
1.47
xG against (recent avg)
0.37
0.49

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Fleetwood Town

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Arsenal

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” League Cup

Fleetwood Town

3rd best BTTS rate (67%)

Arsenal

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 16 League Cup teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Fleetwood Town at home Β· Arsenal away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Fleetwood Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–0L
W 3
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Arsenal (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)4.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Fleetwood Town (home)Arsenal (away)
W 3
W 1
Played
3
1
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
4.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.00
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
5.3%
0–1
4.5%
0–2
3.3%
1–3
2.1%
2–3
1.7%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Fleetwood Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Cheltenham Away 2–4 L
17/10 Rotherham Home 2–0 W
10/10 Walsall Home 1–1 D
06/10 Barnsley Home 4–1 W
03/10 Salford City Away 0–1 L

Arsenal

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Nottingham Forest Away 1–0 W
13/10 Lille Home 3–0 W
10/10 Leeds Home 2–1 W
19/09 Brighton Away 0–3 L
15/09 Ipswich Away 4–2 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” League Cup

Fleetwood Town

Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards6
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)0.37
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Arsenal

Played1
Goals scored (avg)4.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.47
xG against (avg)0.49
Corners for (avg)3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Fleetwood TownArsenal
Played
3
1
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
4.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.00
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
6
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.94
1.47
xG against (avg)
0.37
0.49
Corners for (avg)
4.70
3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Fleetwood Town

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
1
scored conceded

Arsenal

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Cup predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws