Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Leganes vs Albacete

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque • ☁️ 14.7°C, 2 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1xBet2.0645.5% -6.3%
Double Chance 1X Current price not available73.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available53.8% · Yes 46.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available61.4% · Over 38.6% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available11.8% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available51.7% · Over 48.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Leganes · Home

Leganes have failed to score in four of their last five matches, including home defeats to Cordoba and Castellón, yet the model still gives them 1.23 expected goals here. The latest H2H at this venue finished 0-0, and Leganes won the previous home meeting 2-1.

Albacete · Away

Albacete have scored in four of their last five, with both wins coming at home; their away results include a 5-0 loss at Valladolid. Their recent xG for of 1.28 sits above the 1.01 model expected goals for this fixture.

Leganes edge low-scoring H2H

The H2H record is the clearest angle: Leganes are unbeaten in the last three meetings, winning 2-1 and 1-3 around the 0-0 draw. Albacete's away form is the weak point, with defeats at Sporting Gijon and Valladolid, while Leganes' four failed-to-score games in five make a tight scoreline realistic. The Under 2.5 and BTTS No picks fit a 1-0 correct score. The evidence supports Leganes win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Leganes 1.23 – 1.01 Albacete · expected total 2.24

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Leganes

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.92
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.09
Elo strength rating1343

Albacete

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.90
Elo strength rating1402
LeganesAlbacete
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.92
1.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.09
1.90
Elo strength rating
1343
1402

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Leganes

Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Albacete

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División

Leganes

Worst attack (0.60 goals/game, season)

Albacete

2nd worst attack (0.80 goals/game, season)

Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Leganes at home · Albacete away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Leganes (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Albacete (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–5L
D 1
L 5
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Leganes (home)Albacete (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
D 1
L 5
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
2.30
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
11.81%
2–1
8.12%
2–0
8.05%
3–1
3.32%
3–0
3.29%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Albacete 4 wins · 2 draws · Leganes 4 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Jul 2026 Leganes 0–0 Albacete Friendlies Clubs
11 Apr 2026 Leganes 2–1 Albacete Segunda División
04 Jan 2026 Albacete 1–3 Leganes Segunda División
04 Dec 2025 Leganes 1–2 Albacete Copa del Rey
12 May 2024 Albacete 1–0 Leganes Segunda División
27 Aug 2023 Leganes 2–0 Albacete Segunda División
16 Jan 2023 Albacete 1–0 Leganes Segunda División
02 Oct 2022 Leganes 1–2 Albacete Segunda División
30 Jul 2022 Leganes 0–0 Albacete Friendlies Clubs
14 Feb 2021 Leganes 3–1 Albacete Segunda División

📈 Recent Form

Leganes

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Mallorca Home 1–1 D
16/10 Cordoba Home 0–1 L
11/10 Almeria Away 0–3 L
03/10 Cadiz Away 0–4 L
28/09 Castellón Home 0–2 L
20/09 Granada CF Home 3–2 W
13/09 Tenerife Away 0–2 L
04/09 Las Palmas Away 0–0 D
29/08 Eldense Home 1–0 W
22/08 Oviedo Away 1–0 W

Albacete

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Sabadell Home 2–1 W
25/10 Eldense Home 2–0 W
17/10 Sporting Gijon Away 1–2 L
12/10 Valladolid Away 0–5 L
03/10 Eibar Home 1–3 L
25/09 Girona Away 0–2 L
18/09 Cordoba Home 1–2 L
12/09 Granada CF Away 1–1 D
06/09 Castellón Away 0–2 L
29/08 Oviedo Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División

Leganes #17 · 12 pts ·  Albacete #21 · 7 pts

Leganes

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–5L
W 3
D 3
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score6
Yellow cards33
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.92
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.09
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Albacete

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–9L
W 2
D 1
L 9
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards28
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.90
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
LeganesAlbacete
W 3
D 3
L 5
W 2
D 1
L 9
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.90
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
6
4
Yellow cards
33
28
Red cards
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.92
1.28
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.09
1.90
Corners for (avg)
4.00
5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Leganes

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Albacete

4
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
6
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws