Leganes vs Burgos
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Estadio Municipal de Butarque • 🌤 11.2°C, 8 km/h mostly clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 42.5% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 72% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 49.6% · Yes 50.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.8% · Over 44.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Current price not available | 10.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.2% · Over 41.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Leganes · Home
Leganes have taken just one point from their last five matches, with a 1-1 draw against Mallorca followed by four defeats, including 0-1 and 0-2 at home. They failed to score in four of those five games, managing only one goal across the run.
Burgos · Away
Burgos have won two of their last five, including a 3-2 away win at FC Andorra and a 1-0 home win over Sabadell. They also drew 1-1 with Castellón and lost 0-1 to Granada CF at home.
Burgos edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 31 Jan 2026, finished 2-1 to Burgos, and Burgos also won 1-2 at Leganes earlier in the sequence. Leganes' recent record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses with only 1 goal scored contrasts with Burgos' 2 wins from five. Burgos' recent xG for of 1.08 and model expected goals of 1.37 point to a modest but plausible scoring edge, while Leganes' recent xG for of 0.92 and model expected goals of 1.07 suggest limited output. The evidence supports Burgos win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Leganes 1.07 – 1.37 Burgos · expected total 2.44
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Leganes
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leganes
Burgos
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Leganes
Burgos
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leganes at home · Burgos away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leganes (home)
Burgos (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Burgos 4 wins · 2 draws · Leganes 2 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burgos | 2–1 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Leganes | 1–2 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Leganes | 2–0 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 04 Oct 2023 | Burgos | 1–0 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 12 May 2023 | Burgos | 0–3 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Leganes | 0–0 | Burgos | Segunda División |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Burgos | 4–0 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 23 Aug 2021 | Leganes | 0–0 | Burgos | Segunda División |
📈 Recent Form
Leganes
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mallorca | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/10 | Cordoba | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Almeria | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Cadiz | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 28/09 | Castellón | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Granada CF | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 13/09 | Tenerife | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 04/09 | Las Palmas | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 29/08 | Eldense | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 22/08 | Oviedo | Away | 1–0 | W |
Burgos
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Castellón | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/10 | FC Andorra | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 18/10 | Sabadell | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/10 | Granada CF | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Almeria | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Eldense | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Las Palmas | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | AD Ceuta FC | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Oviedo | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 31/08 | Real Sociedad II | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Leganes #17 · 12 pts · Burgos #7 · 21 pts
Leganes
Burgos
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leganes
Burgos
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws