Castellón vs Eibar
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:30 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Estadio Municipal de Castalia • ☁️ 17.1°C, 8 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.65 → 1.67 ▲1% | Betano1.67 | 58% | -3.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.21 | 80.3% | -2.8% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.65 | 58.4% · No 41.6% | -3.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.65 | 58.3% · Under 41.7% | -3.8% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill7.50 | 9.9% | -25.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 52.5% · Over 47.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Castellón · Home
Castellón have scored 9 goals across their last five matches while conceding only 3, including a 4-0 home win over Sporting Gijon and a 3-0 away win at Las Palmas. Their recent xG for those matches with recorded statistics is 1.46, and the model expects 1.86 goals here.
Eibar · Away
Eibar have won just once in five, with 6 goals for and 8 against, and they failed to score in a 0-2 loss at Cordoba. Their recent xG is 1.42, but the model expects only 1.14 goals in this fixture.
Castellón's home edge over Eibar
The latest head-to-head is a telling guide: Castellón beat Eibar 2-1 on 31 May 2026, and they also won the earlier home meeting 2-0. Eibar have no clean sheet in their last five, while Castellón kept two in five and conceded just 3 goals. Castellón's 9 goals in five matches support a realistic home win at 58%. The evidence supports Castellón win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Castellón 1.86 – 1.14 Eibar · expected total 3.00
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Castellón
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Castellón
Eibar
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Castellón
Eibar
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Castellón at home · Eibar away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Castellón (home)
Eibar (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Castellón 2 wins · 1 draw · Eibar 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Castellón | 2–1 | Eibar | Segunda División |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Eibar | 0–0 | Castellón | Segunda División |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Castellón | 2–0 | Eibar | Segunda División |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Eibar | 1–0 | Castellón | Segunda División |
📈 Recent Form
Castellón
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Burgos | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Sporting Gijon | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Las Palmas | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Andorra | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | AD Ceuta FC | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 28/09 | Leganes | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Tenerife | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Girona | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Albacete | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 31/08 | Celta de Vigo II | Away | 2–1 | W |
Eibar
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Almeria | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Cordoba | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Mallorca | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/10 | Oviedo | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Albacete | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Las Palmas | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Eldense | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 14/09 | Celta de Vigo II | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Granada CF | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Andorra | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Castellón #1 · 27 pts · Eibar #3 · 23 pts
Castellón
Eibar
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Castellón
Eibar
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws