Predictions → Usa Major League Soccer

DC United vs New York City FC

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Audi Field • ☀️ 14.6°C, 18 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Betfair3.6027% -2.8%
Double Chance X2 Betano1.4267.4% -4.3%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.5553.6% · No 46.4% -16.9%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Betano2.2545.8% · Over 54.2% +3.1%
Correct Score 1-1 Betano7.3013.9% +1.5%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.2 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available52.4% · Over 47.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

DC United · Home

DC United have lost all five recent matches, scoring only 3 goals while conceding 13, and failed to score in two of them. Their latest home result was a 0-2 defeat to FC Cincinnati.

New York City FC · Away

New York City FC drew three of their last five, including 1-1 with CF Montreal and 2-2 at Orlando City SC. Their most recent away match ended 0-2 at Inter Miami.

Draw Fits NYCFC's Run

New York City FC's recent record of three draws in five matches supports the draw pick, and the latest head-to-head between these sides finished 0-0 on 14 May 2025. DC United's five straight losses make a home win hard to back, while NYCFC's 1-1 and 2-2 draws show they often share points. The model's 1-1 correct score fits that pattern. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: DC United 1.28 – 1.29 New York City FC · expected total 2.57

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

DC United

Form (last 5)
LLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.33
Elo strength rating1265
Players out13

New York City FC

Form (last 5)
DWDDL
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.60
Elo strength rating1339
Players out18
DC UnitedNew York City FC
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.40
1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.33
1.60
Elo strength rating
1265
1339
Players out
13
18

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

DC United

Lost 5 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

New York City FC

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer

DC United

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

New York City FC

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

DC United at home · New York City FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.

DC United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–6L
W 5
D 5
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5

New York City FC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–6D–6L
W 4
D 6
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
DC United (home)New York City FC (away)
W 5
D 5
L 6
W 4
D 6
L 6
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.30
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
5
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.91%
0–0
8.91%
2–2
5.22%
3–3
0.96%
4–4
0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

DC United 4 wins · 2 draws · New York City FC 4 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 May 2026 New York City FC 0–2 DC United Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2025 New York City FC 1–2 DC United Major League Soccer
15 May 2025 DC United 0–0 New York City FC Major League Soccer
15 Sep 2024 DC United 1–1 New York City FC Major League Soccer
21 Apr 2024 New York City FC 2–0 DC United Major League Soccer
08 Oct 2023 DC United 2–0 New York City FC Major League Soccer
19 Mar 2023 New York City FC 3–2 DC United Major League Soccer
01 Sep 2022 New York City FC 1–2 DC United Major League Soccer
19 May 2022 DC United 0–2 New York City FC Major League Soccer
24 Oct 2021 New York City FC 6–0 DC United Major League Soccer

📈 Recent Form

DC United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Columbus Crew Away 0–3 L
29/10 Toronto FC Away 1–2 L
25/10 FC Cincinnati Home 0–2 L
22/10 FC Cincinnati Away 1–2 L
18/10 Orlando City SC Away 1–4 L
15/10 New York Red Bulls Home 2–1 W
11/10 Inter Miami Away 0–4 L
01/10 SC Paderborn 07 Home 0–1 L
27/09 Vancouver Whitecaps Away 3–3 D
20/09 Charlotte Home 1–2 L

New York City FC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 CF Montreal Home 1–1 D
29/10 Atlanta United FC Home 2–1 W
25/10 Orlando City SC Away 2–2 D
18/10 Los Angeles FC Home 1–1 D
15/10 Inter Miami Away 0–2 L
10/10 Chicago Fire Away 1–2 L
27/09 Atlanta United FC Away 2–2 D
19/09 New York Red Bulls Home 0–1 L
13/09 Real Salt Lake Away 2–0 W
10/09 New England Revolution Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer

DC United

Played32
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets6
Failed to score10
Yellow cards65
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.33
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)6/0

New York City FC

Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score6
Yellow cards56
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.60
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)7/2
DC UnitedNew York City FC
Played
32
33
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.40
Clean sheets
6
5
Failed to score
10
6
Yellow cards
65
56
Red cards
2
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.40
1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.33
1.60
Corners for (avg)
4.40
3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
6/0
7/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

DC United

4
0-15
3
8
16-30
8
11
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
12
61-75
4
13
76-90
11
scored conceded

New York City FC

6
0-15
5
5
16-30
12
9
31-45
10
6
46-60
8
8
61-75
6
12
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

DC United

  • ❌ H. Karamoko: Illness
  • ❌ G. Segal: Leg Injury
  • ❌ A. Herrera: Leg Injury
  • ❌ L. Munteanu: Lower-Body Injury
  • ❌ T. Baribo: Injury
  • ❌ S. Nealis: Injury
  • ❌ S. Hefti: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ C. Antley: Leg Injury
  • ❌ L. Bartlett: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Peglow: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ M. Peltola: International duty
  • ❌ H. Kijima: Leg Injury
  • ❌ S. Johnson: Leg Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): K. Rowles; not counted as confirmed absences.

New York City FC

  • ❌ M. Jones: Broken Leg
  • ❌ A. Martinez: Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Perea: Leg Injury
  • ❌ D. Baiera: Knee Injury
  • ❌ H. Wolf: Leg Injury
  • ❌ T. Gray: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ K. O'Toole: Leg Injury
  • ❌ Talles Magno: Injury
  • ❌ A. O'Neill: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ M. Moralez: Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Parks: Groin Injury
  • ❌ K. Trewin: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ A. Farnos: Injury
  • ❌ Raul Gustavo: Leg Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Martins: Leg Injury
  • ❌ N. Mercau: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ M. Freese: International duty
  • ❌ M. Ilenic: International duty

More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws