Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Internacional vs Coritiba

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 • 03:30 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Estádio Beira Rio • ☁️ 19.5°C, 17 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1xBet1.6257.6% -6.7%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.1781.7% -4.4%
BTTS No William Hill1.9548.2% · Yes 51.8% -6%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 1xBet2.0748.6% · Over 51.4% +0.6%
Correct Score 1-0 Bet3657.5010.4% -22%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.2 exp.) Over 9.5 Pinnacle1.5255.1% · Under 44.9% -16.2%

🧠 Match Preview

Internacional · Home

Internacional scored 3-0 against Botafogo and 2-1 against Corinthians at home in their last five, the two wins behind a 2-1-2 record. Their recent xG for over those recorded matches was 1.06, while the model expects 1.47 here.

Coritiba · Away

Coritiba failed to score in three of their last five and lost 0-4 at Fluminense, with just 3 goals scored across that run. Their recent xG for was 1.16, yet the model expects only 1.07 for this away fixture.

Internacional's Home Edge Holds

The latest head-to-head, on 9 May 2026, finished 2-2 with Coritiba hosting, so Internacional's home setting is a different test. Coritiba's away results include the 0-4 loss at Fluminense and a 0-1 defeat at Atletico-MG, part of a run where they failed to score three times in five. Internacional's 3-0 home win over Botafogo shows the scoring output this pick leans on. The 1-0 correct score and Under 2.5 lean support a narrow home result rather than a high-scoring one. The evidence supports Internacional win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 10:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Internacional 1.47 – 1.07 Coritiba · expected total 2.54

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Internacional

Form (last 5)
LWLDW
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.58
Elo strength rating1402
Players out18

Coritiba

Form (last 5)
WLLDL
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.16
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.02
Elo strength rating1344
Players out15
InternacionalCoritiba
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.06
1.16
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.58
2.02
Elo strength rating
1402
1344
Players out
18
15

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Internacional

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Coritiba

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A

Internacional

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Coritiba

Worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Internacional at home · Coritiba away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Internacional (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–6L
W 5
D 5
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4

Coritiba (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–7L
W 5
D 4
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score7
Internacional (home)Coritiba (away)
W 5
D 5
L 6
W 5
D 4
L 7
Played
16
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.80
Clean sheets
5
4
Failed to score
4
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.38%
2–1
9.12%
2–0
8.54%
3–1
4.47%
3–0
4.18%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Coritiba 1 win · 4 draws · Internacional 5 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

1
4
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
09 May 2026 Coritiba 2–2 Internacional Serie A
30 Oct 2023 Internacional 3–4 Coritiba Serie A
23 Jun 2023 Coritiba 0–1 Internacional Serie A
24 Oct 2022 Coritiba 1–1 Internacional Serie A
25 Jun 2022 Internacional 3–0 Coritiba Serie A
08 Nov 2020 Internacional 2–2 Coritiba Serie A
09 Aug 2020 Coritiba 0–1 Internacional Serie A
07 Oct 2016 Internacional 1–0 Coritiba Serie A
24 Jun 2016 Coritiba 1–1 Internacional Serie A
13 Sep 2015 Coritiba 0–1 Internacional Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Internacional

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Fluminense Away 1–2 L
24/10 Botafogo Home 3–0 W
17/10 Mirassol Away 0–2 L
11/10 Gremio Away 1–1 D
08/10 Corinthians Home 2–1 W
20/09 Sao Paulo Away 0–1 L
12/09 Chapecoense-sc Away 2–1 W
06/09 Santos Home 2–3 L
04/09 Gremio Away 1–3 L
31/08 Bahia Away 2–3 L

Coritiba

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Vitoria Home 2–0 W
27/10 Gremio Home 0–1 L
18/10 Atletico-MG Away 0–1 L
12/10 Botafogo Home 1–1 D
09/10 Fluminense Away 0–4 L
20/09 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–5 L
12/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–3 D
06/09 Mirassol Home 1–2 L
01/09 Remo Away 3–2 W
24/08 Corinthians Home 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A

Internacional #18 · 35 pts ·  Coritiba #11 · 42 pts

Internacional

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–11D–14L
W 8
D 11
L 14
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets7
Failed to score10
Yellow cards85
Red cards4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.06
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.58
Corners for (avg)3.90
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Coritiba

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–9D–13L
W 11
D 9
L 13
Played33
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score11
Yellow cards56
Red cards8
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.16
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.02
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
InternacionalCoritiba
W 8
D 11
L 14
W 11
D 9
L 13
Played
33
33
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.50
Clean sheets
7
7
Failed to score
10
11
Yellow cards
85
56
Red cards
4
8
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.06
1.16
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.58
2.02
Corners for (avg)
3.90
5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Internacional

6
0-15
3
8
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
11
76-90
8
scored conceded

Coritiba

4
0-15
2
9
16-30
4
5
31-45
9
8
46-60
8
13
61-75
8
13
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Internacional

  • ❌ A. Rodriguez: Injury
  • ❌ R. Villagra: Injury
  • ❌ Paulinho Paula: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ S. Rochet: International duty
  • ❌ Vitinho: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ A. Bernabei: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ G. Mercado: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Ronaldo: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Carbonero: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Joao Victor: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Bahia: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Bruno Gomes: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ B. Aguirre: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Calebe: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ G. Maripan: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Alan Patrick: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Anthoni: Knee Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Cunha: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❓ B. Arhin (doubtful): Injury
  • ❓ Victor Gabriel (doubtful): Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): F. Torres (Loan agreement).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Richard, Thiago Maia, Bruno Tabata, Kayky, Allex, A. Sanabria; not counted as confirmed absences.

Coritiba

  • ❌ Rodrigo Rodrigues: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Josue: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Pedro Morisco: Injury
  • ❌ Tinga: Injury
  • ❌ Jacy: Injury
  • ❌ Maicon: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ J. Lavega: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Gustavo: Injury
  • ❌ Renato Marques: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Breno Lopes: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Bruno Melo: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ Thiago Santos: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Lucas Ronier: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ Vini Paulista: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
  • ❌ B. Ocampo: Injury
  • ❓ Tiago Coser (doubtful): Inactive

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Keiller (Loan agreement), Joao Pedro Chermont (Loan agreement).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Lucas Crepaldi, Wallisson, Benassi, S. Gomez, Keno, Fabinho, Pedro Rangel, Lucas Taverna, Richard; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: F. Mendes