Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 19 Nov 2026 • 02:30 UTC+3 • Round 35 • Estádio Mineirão
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 67.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.9% · No 41.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 45.4% · Over 54.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 12.8% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 68.8% · Under 31.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cruzeiro · Home
Cruzeiro won four of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Remo and a 2-0 home win over Sao Paulo, with three clean sheets in that run. Their recent xG for of 2.56 across up to five recorded matches shows a steady attacking base.
Palmeiras · Away
Palmeiras drew 0-0 at Santos and lost 0-1 at home to Fluminense, failing to score in two of their last five. Their recent xG for of 2.28 is healthy, but the 1-1 draw at Palmeiras in the latest H2H shows how tight this pairing can be.
H2H draws point to parity
The latest H2H finished 1-1 at Palmeiras, and the previous meeting was 0-0, so two of the last three head-to-heads ended level. Cruzeiro's home record includes a 2-1 win over Palmeiras in June 2025, yet the model's expected goals of 1.53 for Cruzeiro and 1.34 for Palmeiras describe a close contest rather than a clear edge. With both sides showing three clean sheets in their last five, a low-scoring stalemate is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.53 – 1.34 Palmeiras · expected total 2.87
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cruzeiro
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cruzeiro at home · Palmeiras away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cruzeiro (home)
Palmeiras (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cruzeiro 1 win · 3 draws · Palmeiras 6 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Palmeiras | 1–1 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Palmeiras | 0–0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| 02 Jun 2025 | Cruzeiro | 2–1 | Palmeiras | Serie A |
| 05 Dec 2024 | Cruzeiro | 1–2 | Palmeiras | Serie A |
| 21 Jul 2024 | Palmeiras | 2–0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| 07 Dec 2023 | Cruzeiro | 1–1 | Palmeiras | Serie A |
| 15 Aug 2023 | Palmeiras | 1–0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| 08 Dec 2019 | Cruzeiro | 0–2 | Palmeiras | Serie A |
| 15 Sep 2019 | Palmeiras | 1–0 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| 30 Sep 2018 | Palmeiras | 3–1 | Cruzeiro | Serie A |
📈 Recent Form
Cruzeiro
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Atletico-MG | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Remo | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Gremio | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 13/10 | RB Bragantino | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 08/10 | Sao Paulo | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Vitoria | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Santos | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico Paranaense | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 02/09 | Atletico-MG | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Vasco DA Gama | Away | 1–3 | L |
Palmeiras
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Santos | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | RB Bragantino | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 22/10 | Fluminense | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Atletico Paranaense | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Fluminense | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Corinthians | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 09/10 | Bahia | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Gremio | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Sao Paulo | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/09 | LDU de Quito | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Cruzeiro #3 · 57 pts · Palmeiras #2 · 70 pts
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Cruzeiro
- ❌ Marquinhos: Knee Injury
- ❌ L. Sinisterra: Injury
- ❌ Chico: Injury
- ❌ William Furtado: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Cassio: Injury
- ❌ Matheus Pereira: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Fabricio Bruno: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Lucas Silva: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ K. Arroyo: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Kaiki: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Matheus Henrique: Health problems
- ❌ Gabriel Pec: Broken Leg
- ❌ Kenji: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Leo Aragao: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Felipe Morais: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❓ L. Villalba (doubtful): Ankle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Matheus Cunha, Jonathan Jesus, Kaua Moraes, Bruno Rodrigues, Kaio Jorge, L. Romero, Gerson, Joao Marcelo, Fagner, N. Villarreal, Kaua Prates, Wanderson; not counted as confirmed absences.
Palmeiras
- ❌ Lucas Evangelista: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ Paulinho: Leg Injury
- ❌ J. Piquerez: Injury
- ❌ Marlon Freitas: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Allan Elias: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Benedetti: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Bruno Fuchs: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ R. Sosa: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Andreas Pereira: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Carlos Miguel: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ A. Giay: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ G. Gomez: International duty
- ❌ J. Lopez: International duty
- ❌ E. Martinez: International duty
- ❌ A. Barboza: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Khellven: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Arthur Gabriel: Suspended (Red Card)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Felipe Anderson, Figueiredo, J. Arias, Mauricio, Murilo, Vitor Roque, Jefte; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws