RB Bragantino vs Santos

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 02:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • ☁️ 20°C, 3 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

Market	Tip	Odds	Probability	Model EV
Match Result (1X2)	Home 2 → 2.21 ▲11%	Pinnacle2.21	45.6%	+0.8%
Double Chance	12	Bet3651.30	74.6%	-3%
BTTS	Yes	William Hill1.53	56.5% · No 43.5%	-13.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	Betano1.62	57.6% · Under 42.4%	-6.7%
Correct Score	2-1	Bet3659.50	9.4%	-10.7%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.4 exp.)	Over 9.5	Pinnacle1.45	68.5% · Under 31.5%	-0.7%

🧠 Match Preview

RB Bragantino · Home

RB Bragantino have scored 9 goals across their last five matches, including 3-0 against Chapecoense-sc and 4-2 against Cruzeiro, both at home. Their recent xG for is 2.13, and the model expects 1.6 goals here.

Santos · Away

Santos drew three of their last five, with the 0-0 against Palmeiras and 1-1 against Bahia showing they can hold firm but also struggle to convert. Their recent xG for is 1.49, while the model expects 1.18 goals.

Bragantino home edge

The latest H2H was Santos 2-0 RB Bragantino on 10 May 2026, yet the two meetings before it ended 0-0 and 2-2. Bragantino's home record in this sample includes the 3-0 win over Chapecoense-sc and the 4-2 win over Cruzeiro, plus a 1-1 draw with Mirassol. Santos have won just one of their last five and failed to score in the 0-0 with Palmeiras. The evidence supports RB Bragantino win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: RB Bragantino 1.60 – 1.18 Santos · expected total 2.78

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🔑 What Drives the Prediction

RB Bragantino

Form (last 5)

W L D W D

Goals scored (season avg)1.30

Goals conceded (season avg)1.20

Best league winning streak this season5

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.13

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.63

Elo strength rating1511

Players out19

Santos

Form (last 5)

D D W L D

Goals scored (season avg)1.50

Goals conceded (season avg)1.40

Best league winning streak this season5

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.49

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48

Elo strength rating1563

Players out17

RB BragantinoSantos

W L D W D

D D W L D

Goals scored (season avg)

1.30

1.50

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.20

1.40

Best league winning streak this season

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)

2.13

1.49

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)

1.63

1.48

Elo strength rating

1511

1563

Players out

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

RB Bragantino

BTTS

3/6

Over 2.5

2/6

Scored a goal

4/6

No goals conceded

1/6

Santos

Unbeaten 3

BTTS

5/6

Over 2.5

4/6

Scored a goal

5/6

No goals conceded

1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A

RB Bragantino

3rd best defence (1.20 conceded/game, season)

Santos

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

RB Bragantino at home · Santos away, the split that matters for this fixture.

RB Bragantino (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–3D–5L

W 8

D 3

L 5

Played16

Goals scored (avg)1.70

Goals conceded (avg)1.10

Clean sheets6

Failed to score3

Santos (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–4D–6L

W 6

D 4

L 6

Played16

Goals scored (avg)1.60

Goals conceded (avg)1.60

Clean sheets3

Failed to score1

RB Bragantino (home)Santos (away)

W 8

D 3

L 5

W 6

D 4

L 6

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.70

1.60

Goals conceded (avg)

1.10

1.60

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1

9.38%

1–0

8.74%

2–0

7.93%

3–1

5.01%

3–0

4.23%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

RB Bragantino 4 wins · 2 draws · Santos 4 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
11 May 2026	Santos	2–0	RB Bragantino	Serie A
25 Jan 2026	Santos	0–0	RB Bragantino	Paulista - A1
29 Sep 2025	RB Bragantino	2–2	Santos	Serie A
28 Apr 2025	Santos	1–2	RB Bragantino	Serie A
03 Mar 2025	Santos	2–0	RB Bragantino	Paulista - A1
28 Mar 2024	Santos	3–1	RB Bragantino	Paulista - A1
04 Mar 2024	RB Bragantino	1–0	Santos	Paulista - A1
20 Oct 2023	Santos	1–3	RB Bragantino	Serie A
29 May 2023	RB Bragantino	2–0	Santos	Serie A
18 Oct 2022	RB Bragantino	0–2	Santos	Serie A

📈 Recent Form

RB Bragantino

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
29/10	Chapecoense-sc	Home	3–0	W
25/10	Palmeiras	Away	0–2	L
19/10	Remo	Away	1–1	D
13/10	Cruzeiro	Home	4–2	W
08/10	Mirassol	Home	1–1	D
04/10	Atletico-MG	Away	0–1	L
21/09	Flamengo	Away	1–2	L
13/09	Botafogo	Away	1–1	D
05/09	Bahia	Home	2–3	L
30/08	Sao Paulo	Away	1–2	L

Santos

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
29/10	Palmeiras	Home	0–0	D
25/10	Bahia	Home	1–1	D
18/10	Fluminense	Away	2–1	W
11/10	Atletico-MG	Away	1–2	L
09/10	Flamengo	Home	2–2	D
03/10	Sao Paulo	Away	2–1	W
20/09	Remo	Away	2–1	W
13/09	Cruzeiro	Home	2–1	W
10/09	Atletico-MG	Home	2–0	W
06/09	Internacional	Away	3–2	W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie A

RB Bragantino #9 · 44 pts · Santos #8 · 47 pts

RB Bragantino

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–8D–13L

W 12

D 8

L 13

Played33

Goals scored (avg)1.30

Goals conceded (avg)1.20

Clean sheets9

Failed to score8

Yellow cards85

Red cards5

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.13

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.63

Corners for (avg)7.70

Penalties (scored/missed)2/3

Santos

Wins–Draws–Losses12W–11D–10L

W 12

D 11

L 10

Played33

Goals scored (avg)1.50

Goals conceded (avg)1.40

Clean sheets7

Failed to score4

Yellow cards99

Red cards5

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.49

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.48

Corners for (avg)4.50

Penalties (scored/missed)8/0

RB BragantinoSantos

W 12

D 8

L 13

W 12

D 11

L 10

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.30

1.50

Goals conceded (avg)

1.20

1.40

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)

2.13

1.49

xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)

1.63

1.48

Corners for (avg)

7.70

4.50

Penalties (scored/missed)

2/3

8/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

RB Bragantino

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Santos

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

RB Bragantino

❌ G. Rodriguez: Knee Injury
❌ Alix Vinicius: Injury
❌ Gabriel: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ Gustavo Marques: Suspended (Suspended)
❌ Fabinho: Suspended (Red Card)
❌ Fernando Santos: Ankle Injury
❌ Juninho Capixaba: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ Lucas Barbosa: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ I. Sosa: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ J. Herrera: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ Eduardo Santos: Hamstring Injury
❌ Matheus Fernandes: Hamstring Injury
❌ Pedro Henrique: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ A. Hurtado: International duty
❌ Bruninho: Muscle Injury
❌ Caue Nascimento: Muscle Injury
❌ Wallace Yan: Suspended (Red Card)
❌ Tiago Volpi: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ Gustavo Neves: Muscle Injury
❓ Rodriguinho (doubtful): Injury
❓ Eric Ramires (doubtful): Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Jhon Jhon, I. Pitta, Vanderlan, Eduardo Sasha, Fabricio, A. Sant'Anna, Davi Gomes, H. Mosquera, R. Tavares; not counted as confirmed absences.

Santos

❌ Neymar: Knee Injury
❌ Gustavo Henrique: Muscle Injury
❌ Luan Peres: Suspended (Red Card)
❌ Vinicius Lira: Knee Injury
❌ Gabriel Menino: Hamstring Injury
❌ Rodrigo Falcao: Injury
❌ Rony: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ A. Barreal: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ G. Escobar: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ T. Rincon: Health problems
❌ Joao Schmidt: Hamstring Injury
❌ B. Rollheiser: Muscle Injury
❌ Lucas Verissimo: Calf Injury
❌ Pepe Fermino: Muscle Injury
❌ Gabriel Bontempo: Injury
❌ Everton: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
❌ Arthur Melo: Muscle Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): L. Diaz (Loan agreement), Coutinho (Lacking Match Fitness).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Frias, Mayke, Thaciano, Tiquinho Soares, Willian Arao, A. Duarte, Gabriel Barbosa, Ze Rafael, Igor Vinicius, Gabriel Brazao, Moises; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: E. Batista

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