Charlton vs Bolton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • The Valley • ☀️ 10.4°C, 14 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.23 → 2.27 ▲2% | Betano2.27 | 42.4% | -3.8% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.30 | 73.5% | -4.5% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.30 | 46% · Yes 54% | +5.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle2.12 | 47.3% · Over 52.7% | +0.3% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3659.50 | 9% | -14.5% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Pinnacle1.70 | 59% · Under 41% | +0.3% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Charlton · Home
Charlton have taken points in both home meetings with Bolton in the supplied head-to-head, winning 2-0 at home in August 2024 after a 3-3 draw in Bolton. Their recent run is winless in five, with 4 goals scored and 11 conceded, yet the model gives them 1.39 expected goals.
Bolton · Away
Bolton's latest head-to-head was a 1-2 away defeat at Charlton's hands in January 2025, and they have lost three of their last five. Their 1.7 recent xG for is the stronger historical figure, but the model sets their expected goals at 1.21.
Charlton's H2H Edge Holds
The decisive angle is the head-to-head: Charlton won 2-0 at home and drew 3-3 in Bolton, while Bolton's most recent meeting ended 1-2 in Charlton's favour. Charlton's five-match run shows 2 draws and 3 defeats with 2 failed-to-score games, so the edge is matchup-specific rather than form-based. Bolton's 1.7 recent xG for is higher than Charlton's 1.48, which keeps this from being one-sided. The evidence supports Charlton win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Charlton 1.39 – 1.22 Bolton · expected total 2.60
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Charlton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Charlton
Bolton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Charlton
Bolton
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Charlton at home · Bolton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Charlton (home)
Bolton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bolton 5 wins · 2 draws · Charlton 3 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | Bolton | 1–2 | Charlton | League One |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Charlton | 2–0 | Bolton | League One |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Bolton | 3–3 | Charlton | League One |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Charlton | 0–2 | Bolton | League One |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Charlton | 1–2 | Bolton | League One |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Bolton | 3–1 | Charlton | League One |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Bolton | 2–1 | Charlton | League One |
| 28 Sep 2021 | Charlton | 1–4 | Bolton | League One |
| 28 Jan 2017 | Bolton | 1–2 | Charlton | League One |
| 27 Aug 2016 | Charlton | 1–1 | Bolton | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Charlton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Middlesbrough | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Norwich | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Watford | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Burnley | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Bristol City | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cardiff | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Portsmouth | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 09/09 | QPR | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Stoke City | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 02/09 | West Brom | Away | 1–1 | D |
Bolton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bristol City | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 23/10 | Middlesbrough | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 17/10 | Southampton | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/10 | Wolves | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Stoke City | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Norwich | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cardiff | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 08/09 | West Ham | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Millwall | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Charlton #20 · 14 pts · Bolton #19 · 14 pts
Charlton
Bolton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Charlton
Bolton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Charlton
- ❌ J. Edwards: Ankle Injury
- ❌ C. Kelman: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ M. Mbick: Knee Injury
- ❌ K. Ramsay: Ankle Injury
- ❌ M. Godden: Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. Koumetio: Muscle Injury
- ❌ W. Mannion: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ C. Sichenje: Knee Injury
- ❌ N. Chalobah: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. McNamara: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ R. Apter: Knee Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): T. Ouma (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Burke; not counted as confirmed absences.
Bolton
- ❌ R. Rodrigues: Knee Injury
- ❌ X. Simons: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ L. Brunt: Injury
- ❌ C. Forino-Joseph: Groin Injury
- ❌ E. Erhahon: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Hardie: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. McAtee: Knee Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Stephenson, J. Nelson; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Steve Martin