Predictions → England Championship

QPR vs Lincoln

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Loftus Road • ☀️ 10.7°C, 2 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 07 Nov 2026 22:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.83 → 1.67 ▼9% Betano1.6760.9% +1.7%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.1984.7% +0.8%
BTTS No Betfair2.0049.9% · Yes 50.1% -0.2%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Bet3652.0047.9% · Over 52.1% -4.2%
Correct Score 2-0 Betano8.2511.5% -5.1%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) Under 9.5 Betfair2.2056.4% · Over 43.6% +24.1%

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: QPR 60.9% · Draw 23.8% · Lincoln 15.3%. Selected outcome: QPR win.

Goals

Model expected goals: QPR 1.91, Lincoln 0.86, expected total 2.77.

Price check

QPR win at 1.67 gives model EV +1.7%.

Form / H2H

QPR: D-L-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Lincoln: L-L-W-D-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: QPR 2–1 Lincoln, 07 Nov 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

QPR

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.18
Elo strength rating1496
Players out10

Lincoln

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.60
Elo strength rating1372
Players out8
QPRLincoln
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.62
1.01
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.18
1.60
Elo strength rating
1496
1372
Players out
10
8

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

QPR

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Lincoln

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship

QPR

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Lincoln

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

QPR at home · Lincoln away, the split that matters for this fixture.

QPR (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Lincoln (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–3L
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
QPR (home)Lincoln (away)
W 3
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.10
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
11.47%
1–0
10.98%
2–1
9.86%
3–0
7.3%
3–1
6.28%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Lincoln 0 wins · 0 draws · QPR 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Nov 2026 QPR 2–1 Lincoln Championship

📈 Recent Form

QPR

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/11 Lincoln Home 2–1 W
03/11 Burnley Home 1–1 D
31/10 Southampton Away 1–4 L
24/10 Swansea Home 5–0 W
17/10 Birmingham Away 0–3 L
14/10 Derby Home 4–1 W
09/10 West Ham Away 1–1 D
19/09 Preston Home 2–2 D
12/09 West Brom Away 1–1 D
09/09 Charlton Away 0–0 D

Lincoln

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/11 QPR Away 1–2 L
03/11 Watford Away 0–1 L
31/10 Birmingham Home 1–3 L
24/10 Burnley Home 4–1 W
17/10 Millwall Away 2–2 D
14/10 West Ham Home 0–6 L
10/10 Sheffield Utd Away 0–3 L
19/09 Swansea Home 1–2 L
15/09 Bristol City Away 1–0 W
12/09 Preston Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Championship

QPR #11 · 21 pts ·  Lincoln #19 · 15 pts

QPR

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–6D–3L
W 5
D 6
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards27
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.62
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.18
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Lincoln

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–7L
W 4
D 3
L 7
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4
Yellow cards34
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.60
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
QPRLincoln
W 5
D 6
L 3
W 4
D 3
L 7
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.70
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
27
34
Red cards
1
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.62
1.01
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.18
1.60
Corners for (avg)
4.40
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

QPR

3
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Lincoln

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
31-45
4
7
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

QPR

  • ❌ K. Dembele: Knee Injury
  • ❌ B. Kemper: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ J. Obikwu: Shin Injury
  • ❌ I. Chair: Injury
  • ❌ J. Dunne: Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Kone: Injury
  • ❌ T. Lamptey: Injury
  • ❌ D. Cirkin: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. S. Mbengue: Knee Injury
  • ❌ N. Madsen: Injury

Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): R. Kolli (Coach's decision).

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Burrell, K. Saito, J. Clarke-Salter; not counted as confirmed absences.

Lincoln

  • ❌ S. Bradley: Knock
  • ❌ A. Jackson: Surgery
  • ❌ J. Collins: Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Darikwa: Knee Injury
  • ❌ T. Hamer: Health problems
  • ❌ M. Melia: Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. McGrandles: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ F. Draper: Suspended (Yellow Cards)

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Hackett-Fairchild, E. Wheatley; not counted as confirmed absences.

More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: Bobby Madley