Predictions → England FA Cup

Oxford City vs Leicester

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • 1/128-finals • RAW Charging Stadium • ☁️ 7.4°C, 6 km/h overcast

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS: Yes
Model probability 62.9% · Market implied at best price ≈ 52.4% · EV at shown price +20.1%
Best odds 1.91 · Bet365 1xBet 1.91BetVictor 1.83

Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.91 (63.0%, Model EV +20.3%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.

Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away William Hill1.3061.6% -19.9%
Double Chance 12 William Hill1.1582.1% -5.6%
BTTS Yes Bet3651.9162.9% · No 37.1% +20.1%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Bet3651.5062.9% · Under 37.1% -5.7%
Correct Score 1-2 BetVictor8.006.9% -44.8%

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Oxford City 20.5% · Draw 17.9% · Leicester 61.6%. Selected outcome: Leicester win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Oxford City 1.84, Leicester 1.33, expected total 3.17.

Price check

The model favours Leicester win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.

Form / H2H

Oxford City: L-W-D-W-W in their last five matches.
Leicester: D-W-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Oxford City

Form (last 5)
LWDWW
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.30
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1369

Leicester

Form (last 5)
DWLWW
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.70
Elo strength rating—
Oxford CityLeicester
DWLWW
Goals scored (season avg)
3.00
0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.30
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
0.70
Elo strength rating
1369
—

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Oxford City

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Leicester

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: FA Cup

Oxford City

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Leicester

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 40 FA Cup teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Oxford City at home · Leicester away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Oxford City (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)6.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Leicester (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Oxford City (home)Leicester (away)
W 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
6.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
6.87%
0–1
4.59%
0–2
3.74%
1–3
3.05%
2–3
2.8%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Oxford City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 South Shields Home 1–3 L
27/10 Merthyr Town Home 3–0 W
24/10 Marine Away 1–1 D
17/10 Torquay Away 1–0 W
10/10 Hebburn Town Away 3–0 W
03/10 Enfield Town Home 6–1 W
26/09 Morecambe Home 1–1 D
19/09 Dorchester Town Away 2–0 W
12/09 Radcliffe Away 3–0 W
08/09 AFC Telford United Away 0–1 L

Leicester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Stevenage Home 2–2 D
27/10 Wigan Home 3–0 W
24/10 Luton Away 1–2 L
20/10 Bromley Away 4–0 W
17/10 Doncaster Home 2–1 W
10/10 Peterborough Home 1–3 L
06/10 Stevenage Away 1–2 L
22/09 Fulham U21 Home 6–1 W
19/09 Barnsley Away 1–1 D
12/09 Stockport County Away 4–3 W

📊 Season Comparison: FA Cup

Oxford City

Played3
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Leicester

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.70
Corners for (avg)6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Oxford CityLeicester
Played
3
0
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
0.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
—
0.70
Corners for (avg)
—
6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Oxford City

0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
46-60
3
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Leicester

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA Cup predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws