Girona vs Almeria
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 18:15 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi • ☁️ 22.1°C, 23 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.64 (69.9%, Model EV +14.6%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.07 | 47.2% | -2.3% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.30 | 75.1% | -2.4% |
| BTTS | Yes | 1xBet1.64 | 69.9% · No 30.1% | +14.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1xBet1.76 | 59.1% · Under 40.9% | +4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill8.00 | 8.7% | -30.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.8% · Over 49.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Girona · Home
Girona have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, including a 5-1 win over Celta de Vigo II and a 2-0 win over FC Andorra, both at home. Their only failure to score in that run came in the 0-1 loss at Real Sociedad II.
Almeria · Away
Almeria are unbeaten in their last five, with 12 goals scored and none failed to score, including a 4-2 win at Real Sociedad II. They have drawn two of those five, however, and conceded six.
Girona's home scoring edge
The latest head-to-head, on 14 Jan 2024, finished 0-0, but Girona's two previous home meetings with Almeria produced 5-2 and 6-2. Girona's recent home results of 5-1 and 2-0 show a clear scoring pattern at this venue, while Almeria's unbeaten run includes two draws. The model gives Girona a 47.2% win probability against Almeria's 1.62 model expected goals, so a home win is realistic without being dominant. The evidence supports Girona win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Girona 1.97 – 1.62 Almeria · expected total 3.60
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Girona
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Girona
Almeria
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Segunda División
Girona
Almeria
Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Girona at home · Almeria away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Girona (home)
Almeria (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Almeria 3 wins · 3 draws · Girona 4 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2024 | Almeria | 0–0 | Girona | La Liga |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Girona | 5–2 | Almeria | La Liga |
| 17 Feb 2023 | Girona | 6–2 | Almeria | La Liga |
| 20 Oct 2022 | Almeria | 3–2 | Girona | La Liga |
| 27 Mar 2022 | Almeria | 0–1 | Girona | Segunda División |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Girona | 1–2 | Almeria | Segunda División |
| 05 Jun 2021 | Almeria | 0–0 | Girona | Segunda División |
| 02 Jun 2021 | Girona | 3–0 | Almeria | Segunda División |
| 07 Mar 2021 | Girona | 0–1 | Almeria | Segunda División |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Almeria | 0–0 | Girona | Segunda División |
📈 Recent Form
Girona
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Real Sociedad II | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Cuarte | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Celta de Vigo II | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Andorra | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/10 | Tenerife | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/10 | Mallorca | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/09 | Albacete | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Cadiz | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Castellón | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Sporting Gijon | Away | 2–0 | W |
Almeria
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Eibar | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Oviedo | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Real Sociedad II | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 11/10 | Leganes | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Burgos | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Mallorca | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Celta de Vigo II | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Cordoba | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Cadiz | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 29/08 | Sabadell | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Segunda División
Girona #6 · 21 pts · Almeria #2 · 26 pts
Girona
Almeria
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Girona
Almeria
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws