New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Round 34 • Sports Illustrated Stadium • ☁️ 10.1°C, 16 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 48.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 75% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.8% · No 42.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.1% · Under 44.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.9% · Under 40.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
New York Red Bulls · Home
New York Red Bulls have won just one of their last five, though that win was a 2-0 home result against Inter Miami. Their recent_xg_for of 2.8 across up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is the stronger attacking baseline in this matchup.
Atlanta United FC · Away
Atlanta United FC have scored in every one of their last five, including a 3-1 home win over Toronto FC. Their recent_xg_for of 1.53 across the same period sits below the home side's figure.
Red Bulls' Home Edge Holds
The latest H2H, a 2-1 Atlanta home win on 15 Aug 2026, came at Atlanta's venue, while the most recent meeting at New York was a 2-0 Red Bulls win on 31 May 2025. New York's home record includes that 2-0 win over Inter Miami alongside a 0-2 loss to Toronto FC, so the venue split is mixed rather than one-sided. Atlanta's away results in this run were a 1-2 loss to New York City FC and a 3-0 win at CF Montreal. The evidence supports New York Red Bulls win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: New York Red Bulls 1.72 – 1.17 Atlanta United FC · expected total 2.89
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
New York Red Bulls
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Atlanta United FC
Rank among 30 Major League Soccer teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
New York Red Bulls at home · Atlanta United FC away, the split that matters for this fixture.
New York Red Bulls (home)
Atlanta United FC (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Atlanta United FC 4 wins · 2 draws · New York Red Bulls 4 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Atlanta United FC | 2–1 | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Atlanta United FC | 3–2 | New York Red Bulls | Friendlies Clubs |
| 01 Jun 2025 | New York Red Bulls | 2–0 | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Atlanta United FC | 0–0 | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Atlanta United FC | 2–1 | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 22 Sep 2024 | New York Red Bulls | 2–2 | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 25 Jun 2023 | New York Red Bulls | 4–0 | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
| 02 Apr 2023 | Atlanta United FC | 1–0 | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Atlanta United FC | 1–2 | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| 01 Jul 2022 | New York Red Bulls | 2–1 | Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
📈 Recent Form
New York Red Bulls
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Nashville SC | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 29/10 | New England Revolution | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Inter Miami | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Toronto FC | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 15/10 | DC United | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | San Diego | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 01/10 | St. Louis City | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 19/09 | New York City FC | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Columbus Crew | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Los Angeles FC | Away | 0–2 | L |
Atlanta United FC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Toronto FC | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/10 | New York City FC | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Chicago Fire | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Inter Miami | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 15/10 | CF Montreal | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Cincinnati | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | New York City FC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 20/09 | Portland Timbers | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 13/09 | DC United | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/09 | Orlando City SC | Home | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
New York Red Bulls
- ❌ C. Harper: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Marcucci: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Sofo: Ankle Injury
- ❌ J. Che: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ G. Berggren: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. M. Choupo-Moting: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. Dos Santos: Calf Injury
- ❌ E. Forsberg: Hip Injury
- ❌ R. Mosquera: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Mehmeti: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Ruvalcaba: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ O. Valencia: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ E. Lomdono: Injury
- ❌ J. Marshall-Rutty: Injury
- ❌ J. Hall: International duty
- ❌ M. Jimenez: International duty
- ❌ D. Ruiz: International duty
- ❌ J. Bazan: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❓ R. Donkor (doubtful): Knee Injury
- ❓ D. Nealis (doubtful): Ankle Injury
Atlanta United FC
- ❌ D. Chong-Qui: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Fortune: Foot Injury
- ❌ W. Reilly: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Berrocal: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Almiron: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Alzate: Knee Injury
- ❌ T. Jacob: Leg Injury
- ❌ E. Latte Lath: Illness
- ❌ P. Amador: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ M. Edwards: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ C. Sanchez: International duty
- ❌ E. Mihaj: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. Baez: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ L. Brennan: Injury
- ❌ J. Alonso: International duty
- ❌ A. Miranchuk: International duty
- ❌ D. Chica: Knee Injury
- ❓ Sergio Santos (doubtful): Lower-Body Injury
- ❓ F. Picault (doubtful): Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): P. Diaz (Transfer negotiations).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): M. Galarza, M. Amaro, B. Embolo, Giuliano Galoppo; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Major League Soccer predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws