Coritiba vs Santos
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 19 Nov 2026 • 01:30 UTC+3 • Round 35
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 30.5% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 66% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 49.4% · No 50.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 57.9% · Over 42.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.4 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 62.9% · Under 37.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Coritiba · Home
Coritiba's recent home form is mixed: a 2-0 win over Vitoria followed by a 0-1 loss to Gremio, and they also drew 1-1 with Botafogo at home. They failed to score in three of their last five matches, with a recent_xg_for of 1.16.
Santos · Away
Santos drew three of their last five, including 0-0 with Palmeiras and 1-1 with Bahia, and their recent_xg_for is 1.49. Their latest head-to-head was a 0-3 win at Coritiba on 17 May 2026.
Draws Dominate Santos Run
Santos have drawn three of their last five matches, and the most recent head-to-head between these sides finished 0-0 on 22 Apr 2026. Coritiba's home results include a 2-0 win over Vitoria and a 1-1 draw with Botafogo, showing they can both win and be held at home. The model gives the draw 30.5% and a 1-1 correct score 14.5%, so a share of the points is a realistic outcome. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Coritiba 1.17 – 1.20 Santos · expected total 2.37
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Coritiba
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Coritiba
Santos
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie A
Coritiba
Santos
Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Coritiba at home · Santos away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Coritiba (home)
Santos (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Coritiba 2 wins · 2 draws · Santos 6 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Santos | 0–3 | Coritiba | Serie A |
| 14 May 2026 | Coritiba | 0–2 | Santos | Copa Do Brasil |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Santos | 0–0 | Coritiba | Copa Do Brasil |
| 12 Nov 2024 | Coritiba | 0–2 | Santos | Serie B |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Santos | 4–0 | Coritiba | Serie B |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Santos | 2–1 | Coritiba | Serie A |
| 10 Jun 2023 | Coritiba | 0–0 | Santos | Serie A |
| 09 Aug 2022 | Coritiba | 1–2 | Santos | Serie A |
| 13 May 2022 | Santos | 3–0 | Coritiba | Copa Do Brasil |
| 21 Apr 2022 | Coritiba | 1–0 | Santos | Copa Do Brasil |
📈 Recent Form
Coritiba
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Vitoria | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Gremio | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Atletico-MG | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/10 | Botafogo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 09/10 | Fluminense | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Vasco DA Gama | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 12/09 | Atletico Paranaense | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 06/09 | Mirassol | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 01/09 | Remo | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 24/08 | Corinthians | Home | 2–1 | W |
Santos
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Palmeiras | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/10 | Bahia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Fluminense | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Atletico-MG | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 09/10 | Flamengo | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Sao Paulo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Remo | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Cruzeiro | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/09 | Atletico-MG | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Internacional | Away | 3–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie A
Coritiba #11 · 42 pts · Santos #8 · 47 pts
Coritiba
Santos
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Coritiba
Santos
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Coritiba
- ❌ Rodrigo Rodrigues: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Josue: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Pedro Morisco: Injury
- ❌ Tinga: Injury
- ❌ Jacy: Injury
- ❌ Maicon: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Lavega: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Gustavo: Injury
- ❌ Renato Marques: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Breno Lopes: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Bruno Melo: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Thiago Santos: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Lucas Ronier: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Vini Paulista: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ B. Ocampo: Injury
- ❓ Tiago Coser (doubtful): Inactive
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Keiller (Loan agreement), Joao Pedro Chermont (Loan agreement).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Lucas Crepaldi, Wallisson, Benassi, S. Gomez, Keno, Fabinho, Pedro Rangel, Lucas Taverna, Richard; not counted as confirmed absences.
Santos
- ❌ Neymar: Knee Injury
- ❌ Gustavo Henrique: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Luan Peres: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ Vinicius Lira: Knee Injury
- ❌ Gabriel Menino: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ Rodrigo Falcao: Injury
- ❌ Rony: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ A. Barreal: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ G. Escobar: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ T. Rincon: Health problems
- ❌ Joao Schmidt: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ B. Rollheiser: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Lucas Verissimo: Calf Injury
- ❌ Pepe Fermino: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Gabriel Bontempo: Injury
- ❌ Everton: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
- ❌ Arthur Melo: Muscle Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): L. Diaz (Loan agreement), Coutinho (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): A. Frias, Mayke, Thaciano, Tiquinho Soares, Willian Arao, A. Duarte, Gabriel Barbosa, Ze Rafael, Igor Vinicius, Gabriel Brazao, Moises; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws