West Brom vs Millwall
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • The Hawthorns • ☁️ 9.4°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 07 Nov 2026 22:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.07 → 2.05 ▼1% | William Hill2.05 | 46.8% | -4.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.31 | 77.5% | +1.5% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.15 | 56.4% · Yes 43.6% | +21.3% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle1.94 | 62.6% · Over 37.4% | +21.4% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3658.00 | 13.7% | +9.6% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.2 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Pinnacle1.55 | 67.2% · Under 32.8% | +4.2% |
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🧠 Match Preview
West Brom · Home
West Brom are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring in every one of those matches. The latest head-to-head at this venue finished 0-0, showing they can be held here.
Millwall · Away
Millwall have lost 3 of their last five and failed to score in 2 of them, including a 0-3 defeat at Birmingham. Their recent xG for of 1.54 sits well above a model expected goals figure of 0.81 for this fixture.
West Brom's Edge Holds
The most telling angle is the head-to-head pattern: the latest meeting here ended 0-0, while Millwall's 3-0 win came at their own ground. West Brom's recent record of 10 goals scored and none failed to score across five matches supports a home edge. Millwall's away form includes the 0-3 loss at Birmingham and a 1-2 defeat at Portsmouth, both without a clean sheet. The evidence supports West Brom win.
Published 07 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: West Brom 1.34 – 0.85 Millwall · expected total 2.19
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
West Brom
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
West Brom
Millwall
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
West Brom
Millwall
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
West Brom at home · Millwall away, the split that matters for this fixture.
West Brom (home)
Millwall (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Millwall 3 wins · 7 draws · West Brom 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 4 of 11
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov 2026 | West Brom | 3–0 | Millwall | Championship |
| 10 Apr 2026 | West Brom | 0–0 | Millwall | Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Millwall | 3–0 | West Brom | Championship |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Millwall | 1–1 | West Brom | Championship |
| 05 Oct 2024 | West Brom | 0–0 | Millwall | Championship |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Millwall | 1–1 | West Brom | Championship |
| 23 Sep 2023 | West Brom | 0–0 | Millwall | Championship |
| 01 Apr 2023 | West Brom | 0–0 | Millwall | Championship |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Millwall | 2–1 | West Brom | Championship |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Millwall | 2–0 | West Brom | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
West Brom
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Millwall | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/11 | Southampton | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 31/10 | West Ham | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Preston | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Blackburn | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 13/10 | Wrexham | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Birmingham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | Wolves | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | QPR | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 09/09 | Derby | Away | 1–0 | W |
Millwall
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | West Brom | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 03/11 | Birmingham | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 31/10 | Derby | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Portsmouth | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Lincoln | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/10 | Swansea | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Preston | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | West Ham | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Middlesbrough | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Blackburn | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
West Brom #6 · 25 pts · Millwall #13 · 18 pts
West Brom
Millwall
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
West Brom
Millwall
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
West Brom
- ❌ M. Johnston: Broken Leg
- ❌ N. Galves: Knee Injury
- ❌ B. Pereira: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ T. Collyer: Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): T. Bany; not counted as confirmed absences.
Millwall
- ❌ T. Crama: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Doughty: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Ivanovic: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ D. Mazou-Sacko: Calf Injury
- ❌ M. Servais: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ F. Azeez: Abdominal strain
- ❌ M. Luongo: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Leonard: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. Coburn: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. De Norre: Injury
- ❌ R. Esse: Ankle Injury
- ❌ T. Arconte: Ankle Injury
- ❌ F. Marschall: Injury
- ❌ J. Metcalfe: Suspended (Yellow Cards)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Cundle, L. Jensen, K. Lisbie; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Thomas Bramall