Montpellier W vs FC Fleury 91 W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • ☁️ 15°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 66% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.7% · No 41.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 45.9% · Over 54.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 12.9% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.7 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Over 44% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Montpellier W · Home
Montpellier W are without a win in five, drawing three and losing two, and they failed to score in two of those matches. Their latest home meeting with Fleury ended 1-2 on 6 Sep 2025, though the 1-1 draw with Le Havre shows they can share the points at home.
FC Fleury 91 W · Away
FC Fleury 91 W have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 at Lens and 1-1 at Nantes, and they failed to score in none of them. They won the latest H2H 1-0 on 31 Jan 2026, but their away record also includes the 2-2 draw at Marseille.
Draws dominate both recent runs
Both sides arrive with three draws in their last five, and Fleury's away matches have produced 1-1 at Lens, 2-2 at Marseille and 1-1 at Nantes. Montpellier's home results include 1-1 with Le Havre and 0-0 with Marseille, while the latest H2H was a 1-0 Fleury win on 31 Jan 2026. The model's 1-1 correct score fits this pattern of shared points, and the 27.4% draw probability is the most realistic single outcome. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Montpellier W 1.47 – 1.37 FC Fleury 91 W · expected total 2.85
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Montpellier W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Montpellier W
FC Fleury 91 W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Feminine Division 1
Montpellier W
FC Fleury 91 W
Rank among 12 Feminine Division 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Montpellier W at home · FC Fleury 91 W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Montpellier W (home)
FC Fleury 91 W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
FC Fleury 91 W 5 wins · 2 draws · Montpellier W 3 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | FC Fleury 91 W | 1–0 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Montpellier W | 1–2 | FC Fleury 91 W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 07 May 2025 | FC Fleury 91 W | 1–2 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Montpellier W | 0–1 | FC Fleury 91 W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 08 May 2024 | FC Fleury 91 W | 2–3 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 20 Oct 2023 | Montpellier W | 1–1 | FC Fleury 91 W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 06 May 2023 | FC Fleury 91 W | 1–2 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 02 Dec 2022 | Montpellier W | 1–1 | FC Fleury 91 W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 04 Feb 2022 | FC Fleury 91 W | 1–0 | Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| 01 Oct 2021 | Montpellier W | 1–2 | FC Fleury 91 W | Feminine Division 1 |
📈 Recent Form
Montpellier W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lyon W | Home | 2–5 | L |
| 23/10 | Paris Saint Germain W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Le Havre W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Nantes W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Marseille W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Saint-Malo W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Toulouse W | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 06/05 | Lyon W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 25/04 | Saint-Étienne W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 22/04 | Paris FC W | Home | 0–2 | L |
FC Fleury 91 W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lens W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Marseille W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 04/10 | Paris Saint Germain W | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Saint-Malo W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Nantes W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 04/09 | Lyon W | Home | 1–7 | L |
| 06/05 | Saint-Étienne W | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/04 | Paris Saint Germain W | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 22/04 | Strasbourg W | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 28/03 | Paris FC W | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Feminine Division 1
Montpellier W #8 · 6 pts · FC Fleury 91 W #9 · 6 pts
Montpellier W
FC Fleury 91 W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Montpellier W
FC Fleury 91 W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Feminine Division 1 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws