Predictions → Spain La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Levante

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 12 • 🌦 17.3°C, 6 km/h, 1.5mm showers

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.86 → 1.87 ▲1% Betano1.8755% +2.9%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.2579.2% -1%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.7556.5% · No 43.5% -1.1%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 1xBet1.9053.1% · Under 46.9% +0.9%
Correct Score 2-1 Betano8.759.9% -13.4%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8 exp.) Under 9.5 Betano1.4762% · Over 38% -8.9%

🧠 Match Preview

Celta Vigo · Home

Celta Vigo's recent record is mixed: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in five, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded. Their model expected goals of 1.86 for this fixture sit above their recent weighted xG of 1.25, suggesting the home attack is forecast to improve.

Levante · Away

Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in five, scoring 8 and conceding 9, and they failed to score only once. Their recent weighted xG of 1.25 is higher than their model expected goals of 1.07 for this match.

H2H Goals Favour Home Edge

The latest head-to-head, on 12 May 2026, ended 2-3 to Levante, yet the earlier meeting finished 1-2 for Celta Vigo and the 2022 clash was 1-1. Levante have kept no clean sheets in their last five, conceding 9 goals, while Celta Vigo scored in three of their five recent matches. That openness supports a home result rather than a repeat of the most recent H2H. The evidence supports Celta Vigo win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.86 – 1.07 Levante · expected total 2.93

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Celta Vigo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
Elo strength rating1533
Players out12

Levante

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.25
Elo strength rating1405
Players out6
Celta VigoLevante
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.90
Best league winning streak this season
3
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.25
1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.01
2.25
Elo strength rating
1533
1405
Players out
12
6

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Celta Vigo

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Levante

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: La Liga

Celta Vigo

2nd best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (5, season)

Levante

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Celta Vigo at home · Levante away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Celta Vigo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Levante (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–3L
D 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Celta Vigo (home)Levante (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
D 3
L 3
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.50
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.92%
2–0
9.27%
1–0
8.89%
3–1
6.15%
3–0
5.75%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Celta Vigo 4 wins · 2 draws · Levante 4 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 May 2026 Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante La Liga
02 Nov 2025 Levante 1–2 Celta Vigo La Liga
21 Feb 2022 Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante La Liga
21 Sep 2021 Levante 0–2 Celta Vigo La Liga
30 Apr 2021 Celta Vigo 2–0 Levante La Liga
26 Oct 2020 Levante 1–1 Celta Vigo La Liga
16 Jul 2020 Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante La Liga
22 Dec 2019 Levante 3–1 Celta Vigo La Liga
16 Feb 2019 Celta Vigo 1–4 Levante La Liga
27 Aug 2018 Levante 1–2 Celta Vigo La Liga

📈 Recent Form

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Rayo Vallecano Away 0–3 L
25/10 Real Betis Home 0–0 D
22/10 Celtic Away 2–1 W
18/10 Alaves Home 2–1 W
15/10 Juventus Home 1–2 L
11/10 Elche Away 0–0 D
19/09 Racing Santander Home 5–0 W
16/09 Omonia Nicosia Away 0–1 L
13/09 Malaga Home 1–1 D
07/09 Getafe Away 1–1 D

Levante

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Atletico Madrid Home 0–2 L
25/10 Real Sociedad Away 1–2 L
21/10 Athletic Club Home 3–1 W
16/10 Deportivo La Coruna Away 1–1 D
12/10 Sevilla Home 3–3 D
20/09 Villarreal Away 1–3 L
13/09 Barcelona Home 2–4 L
06/09 Malaga Away 0–0 D
29/08 Real Betis Home 5–2 W
24/08 Osasuna Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: La Liga

Celta Vigo #9 · 12 pts ·  Levante #18 · 10 pts

Celta Vigo

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–6D–3L
W 2
D 6
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score6
Yellow cards18
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.01
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Levante

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–5L
W 2
D 4
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards17
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.25
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Celta VigoLevante
W 2
D 6
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 5
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.90
Clean sheets
5
2
Failed to score
6
4
Yellow cards
18
17
Red cards
1
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.25
1.25
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.01
2.25
Corners for (avg)
3.60
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Celta Vigo

0-15
1
3
16-30
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Levante

4
0-15
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Celta Vigo

  • ❌ M. Vecino: Knee Injury
  • ❌ B. Iglesias: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Febas: Ribs Injury
  • ❌ M. Alonso: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Antanon: Ankle Injury
  • ❌ J. El Abdellaoui: Knee Injury
  • ❌ I. Aspas: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ M. Roman: Knee Injury
  • ❌ C. Starfelt: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ P. Duran: Calf Injury
  • ❌ H. F. Cuenca Martinez: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Nunez: Groin Injury

⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): C. Perez; not counted as confirmed absences.

Levante

  • ❌ R. Brugue: Suspended (Red Card)
  • ❌ A. Primo: Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ K. Etta Eyong: Injury
  • ❌ H. Sotelo: Knee Injury
  • ❌ E. Bardeli: Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Dela: Overload

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