Italy Serie D - Girone D Double Chance Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group D, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WDLWL
Pontedera Pontedera vs Solbiatese Solbiatese
WDWDD 68.5% X2 N/A — —
16:30 LDDWW
Pro Patria Pro Patria vs Pistoiese Pistoiese
WLWWL 74.2% 12 N/A — —
16:30 LDWWW
Castellanzese Castellanzese vs USD Casatese USD Casatese
WLLWL 79.2% 1X N/A — —
16:30 LLDDD
Pro Sesto Pro Sesto vs Correggese Correggese
DDLLW 82.5% 1X N/A — —
16:30 WDDWL
Lentigione Lentigione vs Arconatese Arconatese
LWLLD 84.9% 1X N/A — —
16:30 LDWWL
Città di Varese Città di Varese vs Sant'Angelo Sant'Angelo
LLWWL 66.2% 1X N/A — —
16:30 LWDLL
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia Pavia
WWLDL 73.5% 1X N/A — —
16:30 LDDLL
Oltrepò Oltrepò vs Crema Crema
WDWDW 68.5% 1X N/A — —
16:30 DLLLL
Coriano Coriano vs Varesina Varesina
WDDDD 66.3% X2 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone D for Double Chance

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
33.3% 3/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
44.4% 4/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
33.3% 3/9
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/9
🛡️ Double Chance
66.7% 6/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/4
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/4

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 33.3% 3/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 44.4% 4/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 33.3% 3/9
🛡️ Double Chance 66.7% 6/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 40.7% 33.3% 9 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.6% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 77.9% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 65.9% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 53.5% 37.5% 8 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 62.7% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 13.2% 0.0% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.2% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 80.9% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 65.8% 50.0% 4 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.5% 0.0% 4 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group D, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 WWDWD
Piacenza Piacenza vs Correggese Correggese
DDLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Imolese Imolese vs Sant'Angelo Sant'Angelo
LLWWL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WLWWL
Pistoiese Pistoiese vs Lentigione Lentigione
WDDWL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 WLLWD
Sasso Marconi Zola Sasso Marconi Zola vs Coriano Coriano
DLLLL — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 WLLWW
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina vs Pro Sesto Pro Sesto
LLDDD — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Sangiuliano City Sangiuliano City vs Progresso Progresso
LLLLL — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLLW
Pro Palazzolo Pro Palazzolo vs Tuttocuoio Tuttocuoio
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LWDLL
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema Crema
WDWDW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WLDWL
Rovato Vertovese Rovato Vertovese vs Trevigliese Trevigliese
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLD
Arconatese Arconatese vs Pontedera Pontedera
WDLWL 75.2% 1X ❌ N/A — 3 – 4 FT
01/11 16:30 DDLLW
Correggese Correggese vs Coriano Coriano
DLLLL 81.8% 1X ✅ @1.21Betano -1% 2 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDW
Crema Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena
LWDLL 65% X2 ❌ @1.40Betano -9% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WWLDL
Pavia Pavia vs Pro Patria Pro Patria
LDDWW 68.9% X2 ❌ @1.34Betano -7.7% 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWWL
Pistoiese Pistoiese vs Castellanzese Castellanzese
LDWWW 80% 1X ✅ @1.16Betano -7.2% 4 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 LLWWL
Sant'Angelo Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione Lentigione
WDDWL 73.1% 12 ✅ @1.29Betano -5.7% 0 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDD
Solbiatese Solbiatese vs Oltrepò Oltrepò
LDDLL 80.9% 1X ✅ N/A — 4 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWL
USD Casatese USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto Pro Sesto
LLDDD 64.6% 1X ✅ @1.40Betano -9.6% 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDDD
Varesina Varesina vs Città di Varese Città di Varese
LDWWL 64.8% 1X ✅ @1.37Betano -11.2% 3 – 1 FT